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Summary Everyone wants to buy bonds right now because everyone knows the US is headed for recession. But neither the 10-year, the 2-year or shorter-term yields are currently falling at a pace that we would expect just prior to recession. If we go into recession you’ll make mo...
Summary It will be a busy week filled with the first look at Q4 GDP, corporate earnings, and US debt ceiling gridlock. The EU flash PMIs early in the week will be of keen interest as investors continue to assess how much trouble the economy is in. While the UK PMIs would typically b...
Summary European credit has started 2023 with a bang. In the aftermath of the invasion of Ukraine, the vulnerability of Europe’s energy ecosystem has been one of the principal concerns for European corporate issuers. Europe’s more open economy arguably benefits more fr...
Summary US markets remain focussed on the looming recession, though data not being quite as bad yesterday allowed for a modest bounceback in rates. The ECB's pushback against market rates lower has had modest success so far, but we think more headwinds are brewing for EUR rates in parti...
Summary Strains are building, and the U.S. will likely enter recession in the second half of 2023. By then, Europe will likely be emerging from recession, while China and Emerging Asia may be enjoying a COVID-reopening-inspired recovery. Segments of the inflation basket will soften rapi...
Summary We expect rates to stabilize in the second half of this year and fall later in 2023 or early 2024. Overseas buyers’ reduced appetite for euro sovereign issues is a further potential concern. Sovereign-bond valuations across the European periphery have realigned. ...
Summary Active fixed-income ETFs allow portfolio managers to stay nimble and avoid sectors and parts of the credit spectrum that might encounter increased stress. There are now a growing number of dividend ETFs that are focused on yield and offer responsiveness to evolving sector dynami...
Summary One of the big stories late last fall was the abrupt about-face turn by the Chinese government on its zero-Covid policy. There is a connection of sorts tying together the newfound fondness for Chinese and European assets. Small-cap domestic stocks do still seem to demonstrat...
Summary Easing supply chain pressures are evident in supplier delivery times, which have been rising at a slower pace recently. Labor shortages did not ease much even as demand weakened. Weak demand conditions are likely to continue limiting companies' ability to sustain high wage g...
Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
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2024-04-11 12:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 14:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-22 12:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...