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The US dollar fell against most of the world's currencies last week and looks poised to move lower in days ahead. Some participants expect the increase in long-term rates to be supportive of the dollar, but most are bearish the greenback, and the consensus forecasts reflect this attit...
The yen has been gradually appreciating in the past few years, limiting the upside gain in equities. In the short run, there is potential for JPY strength due to the rising uncertainty associated with the US elections (and Brexit). However, the downside gains on FXY remain limited...
Chinese markets re-opened with a bang. Shanghai led the Asia Pacific bourses higher with a 1.7% gain, and the onshore yuan rose 1.1%. Gold has rallied more than 1% today to about $1916, putting it within striking distance of the week's high set on October 6 near $1921. For furth...
Growth expectations will certainly be reviewed to the downside in the coming months amid new restrictions imposed by governments. The lack of stimulus in addition to the rising uncertainty leaves stocks vulnerable in the short term. We are still long the US dollar and would avoid ...
Japan reported a larger than expected balance of payments surplus in August of JPY2.1 trillion. Within it, the trade surplus rose to JPY413 bln, the largest since March. The RBNZ recognized that its dual mandate on inflation and employment is elusive and would not be met for at least ...
President Trump's tweet announced that negotiations with the House Democrat leadership had collapsed, and there will be no further talks until after the election. Many economists had been removing it from their Q4 GDP projections, but the market was caught wrongfooted. Risk came off. ...
Market moves have stalled. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index did manage to extend Monday's gains, but other markets are heavier. he dollar initially extended its loss but recovered after several key chart points were tested, including $1.18 in the euro, $1.30 in sterling, and $0.7200 in the...
A week ago, the dollar's technical condition suggested there was potential for one more push higher in the correction that began on September 1. However, instead, the dollar fell against all the major currencies and many emerging market currencies as well. Many Asian markets were ...
News earlier today that the US President and his wife have tested positive for the COVID-19 virus has injected a new unknown into not only the US election but the markets as well. US shares are around 1.2% lower. European shares have recouped some of the initial sharper losses. ...
US-dollar-denominated exchange reserves - that would be US Treasury securities, US corporate bonds, US mortgage-backed securities, etc. held by foreign central banks - rose 1.9% in the second quarter to $6.9 trillion, according to the IMF's COFER data release. The yen has backed off a...
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