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The primary concern for the public is by far inflation, not recession risk, and not the risk of a bear market in stocks given news headlines as a gauge of importance. The prior tightening seen in financial markets (10-yr UST yield jump) will likely weigh on future growth as measured b...
Concerns about inflation adversely impacting the consumer and corporate profitability appeared to drive the weakness. The consumer staples and consumer discretionary sectors led today’s decline, trading down around 5% and 6%, respectively. Given the compounding uncertainty ...
The US central bank seems to have underestimated the intensity, duration, and perhaps the number of inflationary pressures we are faced with, which is why they probably acted so late. The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the resulting West-Russia economic conflicts risk exacerbating in...
We have written previously about how hard it is for the Federal Reserve to determine policymaking interest rates when there is a simultaneous aggregate demand shock and aggregate supply shock. Finding a neutral real interest rate in periods of coincident epidemic shock and war shock i...
The recent flattening of the yield curve can now allow investors to earn pretty much the same yield in bonds while taking much less duration exposure. We take a look at SJNK - a high-yield corporate bond with a very low duration exposure which earns a higher yield than its longer-dura...
TBF is an ETF which is short long-dated bonds as reflected in the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. 30-year rates have had a violent reset higher in 2022, closing in on their 2018 highs. We are of the opinion that the bulk of the rates move is behind us and the "easy money" i...
We have been living under an illusion that the relationship between nominal GDP and the quantity of circulating currency is dead. Claims linking inflation to the size of the balance sheet may stem, in part, from focus by Fed officials on the size of the balance sheet in recent months....
Fed Chair Jerome Powell aims to try and on Tuesday expressed confidence that the central bank will aggressively persist in its quest to resolve its biggest inflation challenge in 4 decades. Although interest rates have shot up in recent months, the market appears to be reassessing how...
This year has seen significant volatility in credit markets given the tumultuous macroeconomic backdrop and hawkish Federal Reserve. Investment-grade bonds, bank loans, and high-yield bonds could perform differently now than in prior risk-off periods due to asset class-specific develo...
There is currently much debate in the mainstream media suggesting investors should ignore Fed rate hikes. For the last decade, the primary bullish thesis for chasing equity markets remains “Don’t fight the Fed.”. Selling rallies certainly seems to be the prude...
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While concerns like job relevance, security risks and privacy remain, employees recognize that AI-powered devices can bring a competitive advantage — both for themselves and their company A survey released today by Insight Enterprises (NASDAQ: NSIT) in partnership with Th...
Insight’s new fully managed service aligns with Microsoft Security portfolio to provide 24/7/365 cyberthreat detection and response Insight Enterprises (NASDAQ: NSIT), a global Solutions Integrator driving client success through digital transformation, announced today it has ...
2024-04-12 09:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...