BMYMP - 8 Upcoming Dividend Increases To Start 2023
Summary
- All stocks have at least five fiscal years of dividend growth history and come from the U.S. Dividend Champions List.
- They have an average increase of 13% and a median increase of 7.6%.
- There are eight increases for next week, down from twenty-five last week. Happy New Year!
Companies that grow dividends over time have been shown to beat the broader market. Management's dividend increases are an important signal that the business is performing well and the company can and wants to reward shareholders. I track upcoming dividend increases from companies with a history of increasing them. The lists below contain different data points for the stocks increasing their dividends next week. This is especially important during these inflationary times.
This list is a trimmed-down version, only covering dividend increases. A full upcoming dividend calendar is always available here .
How I Created The Lists
I created the information below by combining the "U.S. Dividend Champions" spreadsheet hosted here with upcoming dividend information from NASDAQ. This meshes metrics about companies with dividend growth history with upcoming dividend payments. These companies all have a minimum five-year dividend growth history.
Companies are required to have higher total dividends paid out each year. Therefore, a company may not raise its dividend each calendar year, but the total annual dividend can still increase.
What Is The Ex-Dividend Date?
The "ex-dividend" date is when you are no longer entitled to the dividend or distribution. You need to have made your purchase by the preceding business day. For example, if the date is a Tuesday, you need to have purchased (or already owned) shares by the market close on Monday. Be aware that for any stock going ex-dividend on a Monday (or Tuesday if Monday is a holiday), you must own it by the prior Friday.
Dividend Streak Categories
Here are the definitions of the streak categories, as I'll use them throughout the piece.
- King: 50+ years
- Champion/Aristocrat: 25+ years
- Contender: 10-24 years
- Challenger: 5+ years
| Category |
| Count |
| King |
| 1 |
| Champion |
| 1 |
| Contender |
| 4 |
| Challenger |
| 2 |
The Dividend Increasers List
Data has been sorted by the ex-dividend day (ascending) and then by the streak (descending):
| Name |
| Ticker |
| Streak |
| Forward Yield |
| Ex-Div Date |
| Increase Percent |
| Streak Category |
| Owens Corning Inc Common Stock New |
| ( OC ) |
| 8 |
| 2.45 |
| 3-Jan-23 |
| 48.57% |
| Challenger |
| ABM Industries Incorporated |
| ( ABM ) |
| 54 |
| 2 |
| 4-Jan-23 |
| 12.82% |
| King |
| Erie Indemnity Company - Class A Common Stock |
| ( ERIE ) |
| 31 |
| 1.9 |
| 4-Jan-23 |
| 7.21% |
| Champion |
| HEICO Corporation |
| ( HEI ) |
| 17 |
| 0.13 |
| 4-Jan-23 |
| 11.11% |
| Contender |
| Royal Gold, Inc. |
| ( RGLD ) |
| 20 |
| 1.35 |
| 5-Jan-23 |
| 7.14% |
| Contender |
| Bristol-Myers Squibb Company |
| ( BMY ) |
| 15 |
| 3.17 |
| 5-Jan-23 |
| 5.56% |
| Contender |
| Morningstar, Inc. |
| ( MORN ) |
| 10 |
| 0.72 |
| 5-Jan-23 |
| 4.17% |
| Contender |
| Toronto-Dominion Bank |
| ( TD ) |
| 6 |
| 5.97 |
| 5-Jan-23 |
| 7.90% |
| Challenger |
Field Definitions
Streak : Years of dividend growth history are sourced from the U.S. Dividend Champions spreadsheet.
Forward Yield : The new payout rate is divided by the current share price.
Ex-Dividend Date : This is the date you need to own the stock.
Increase Percent : The percent increase.
Streak Category : This is the overall dividend history classification of the company.
Show Me The Money
Here's a table mapping the new rates versus the old rates. It also reiterates the percentage increase. This table is sorted the same way as the first table (ex-dividend day ascending, dividend streak descending).
| Ticker |
| Old Rate |
| New Rate |
| Increase Percent |
| OC |
| 0.35 |
| 0.52 |
| 48.57% |
| ABM |
| 0.195 |
| 0.22 |
| 12.82% |
| ERIE |
| 1.11 |
| 1.19 |
| 7.21% |
| HEI |
| 0.09 |
| 0.1 |
| 11.11% |
| RGLD |
| 0.35 |
| 0.375 |
| 7.14% |
| BMY |
| 0.54 |
| 0.57 |
| 5.56% |
| MORN |
| 0.36 |
| 0.375 |
| 4.17% |
| TD |
| C$0.89 |
| C$0.96 |
| 7.90% |
Additional Metrics
Some different metrics related to these companies include yearly pricing action and the P/E ratio. The table is sorted the same way as the table above. A value investor may find stock ideas with those companies near their 52-week lows, as they could provide more margin of safety and inflated yield.
| Ticker |
| Current Price |
| 52 Week Low |
| 52 Week High |
| PE Ratio |
| % Off Low |
| % Off High |
| OC |
| 84.87 |
| 72.35 |
| 99.89 |
| 0 |
| 17% Off Low |
| 15% Off High |
| ABM |
| 44.03 |
| 37.51 |
| 53.5 |
| 0 |
| 17% Off Low |
| 18% Off High |
| ERIE |
| 251.1 |
| 157.69 |
| 286.5 |
| 43.91 |
| 59% Off Low |
| 12% Off High |
| HEI |
| 151.88 |
| 126.86 |
| 165.79 |
| 55.16 |
| 20% Off Low |
| 8% Off High |
| RGLD |
| 111.51 |
| 84.24 |
| 146.7 |
| 32.23 |
| 32% Off Low |
| 24% Off High |
| BMY |
| 72 |
| 59.23 |
| 81.44 |
| 0 |
| 22% Off Low |
| 12% Off High |
| MORN |
| 209.79 |
| 207.11 |
| 348.26 |
| 50.24 |
| 1% Off Low |
| 40% Off High |
| TD |
| 64.35 |
| 57.27 |
| 83.47 |
| 11.61 |
| 12% Off Low |
| 23% Off High |
Tickers By Yield And Growth Rates
Some investors are more interested in the current yield, so I sorted this table descending by yield. The table also includes some historical dividend growth rates as a bonus. Additionally, the "Chowder Rule" has been included, the current yield + five-year dividend growth rate.
| Ticker |
| Yield |
| 1 Yr DG |
| 3 Yr DG |
| 5 Yr DG |
| 10 Yr DG |
| Chowder Rule |
| TD |
| 5.97 |
| 8.1 |
| 7.7 |
| 9.1 |
| 7 |
| 15 |
| BMY |
| 3.17 |
| 9.3 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 3.7 |
| 3.1 |
| OC |
| 2.45 |
| 8.7 |
| 6.8 |
| 7.7 |
| 10.1 |
| ABM |
| 2 |
| 28.8 |
| 10.9 |
| 13.9 |
| 8.5 |
| 15.9 |
| ERIE |
| 1.9 |
| 7.2 |
| 7.2 |
| 7.2 |
| 7.2 |
| 8.9 |
| RGLD |
| 1.35 |
| 34 |
| 14.2 |
| 9.9 |
| 13.3 |
| 11.2 |
| MORN |
| 0.72 |
| 6 |
| 8.6 |
| 8.5 |
| 28.5 |
| 9.2 |
| HEI |
| 0.13 |
| 6.3 |
| 44.8 |
| 7.6 |
| 18.4 |
| 7.7 |
Historical Returns
I'm always searching for dividend-growth stocks with a history of beating a market benchmark. I use the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF ( SCHD ) as my benchmark. The short version is that the ETF has a long history of outstanding performance, higher yield than the S&P, and growing dividends.
Here's the ten-year total return chart for SCHD versus everyone on the list.
HEI was the top dog with a 773% total return versus 264% for SCHD. MORN closely mirrored SCHD, while ERIE also had stellar returns of close to 400%. The others on the list fell short of matching SCHD.
Please do your due diligence before investing, and thanks for reading.
For further details see:
8 Upcoming Dividend Increases To Start 2023