AFMC - Bears Back Down
Summary
- The S&P 500 has rallied impressively in the past week leading up to Thursday’s CPI print, and bullish sentiment has lifted along with it.
- While the reading remains low, the percentage of respondents to the weekly AAII sentiment survey reporting as bullish rose from 20.5% up to 24%.
- For the first time since the first week of November and for only the eleventh time in the past year, bearish sentiment came in below 40%.
The S&P 500 has rallied impressively in the past week leading up to Thursday’s CPI print, and bullish sentiment has lifted along with it. While the reading remains low, the percentage of respondents to the weekly AAII sentiment survey reporting as bullish rose from 20.5% up to 24%. Bulls were higher only two weeks ago when the reading was at 26.5%
That rise in bulls has meant bearish sentiment has fallen to a notable level. For the first time since the first week of November and for only the eleventh time in the past year, bearish sentiment came in below 40%. Bearish sentiment has now fallen for three weeks in a row, which is the longest streak of consecutive declines since last August as well.
Although bullish and bearish sentiment are sending a more optimistic tone, the bull-bear spread remains heavily in favor of bears at -15.9. That grows the record streak of negative readings to 41 weeks in a row.
Last week, neutral sentiment leaped higher given the mid-single-digit declines in bulls and bears. Some of that move was given back this week with only 36% reporting as neutral. However, that remains an elevated reading at 4.6 percentage points above the historical average.
Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.
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Bears Back Down