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Before we start this article, I want to preface this by saying that any sort of "evaluation model" such as the one presented in this article can be argued to be not merely an exercise, if not in futility, at the very least in uncertainty.
As much as we, as investors, want to develop models that somehow predict the overall safety of any particular business or stock, the simple fact is that we really can only hope to do SOME of that, at least insofar as the short and medium-term goes.