GNMSF - Genmab A/S (GMAB) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript
2023-05-10 18:07:08 ET
Genmab A/S (GMAB)
Q1 2023 Earnings Conference Call
May 10, 2023, 12:00 ET
Company Participants
Jan van de Winkel - Co-Founder, President & CEO
Anthony Pagano - EVP & CFO
Conference Call Participants
Michael Schmidt - Guggenheim Securities
Peter Welford - Jefferies
Emily Field - Barclays Bank
Rajan Sharma - Goldman Sachs Group
James Gordon - JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Matthew Phipps - William Blair & Company
Yaron Werber - TD Cowen
Asthika Goonewardene - Truist Securities
Peter Verdult - Citigroup
Presentation
Operator
Hello, and welcome to the Genmab's First Quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference Call. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded.
During this telephone conference, you may be presented with forward-looking statements that include words such as believes, anticipates, plans or expects. Actual results may differ materially, for example, as a result of delayed or unsuccessful development projects. Genmab is not under any obligation to update statements regarding the future nor to confirm such statements in relation to actual results unless this is required by law. Please also note that Genmab may hold your personal data as indicated by you as part of our Investor Relations outreach activities in order to update you on Genmab looking -- going forward. Please refer to our website for more information on Genmab and our privacy policy.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Jan van de Winkel. Please go ahead.
Jan van de Winkel
Hello, and welcome to Genmab's conference call to discuss the company's financial results for the period ending March 31, 2023. With me today to present these results is our CFO, Anthony Pagano. Let's move to Slide 2.
As already said, we will be making forward-looking statements, so please keep that in mind as we go through this call. Let's move to Slide 3.
During today's presentation, we will reference products being developed under some of our strategic collaborations. This slide acknowledges those relationships. Let's move to Slide 4.
Before we look at our first quarter results, I want to remind you of our consistent track record of success. Our proprietary technologies fuel our robust product engine, which is both expanding and maturing. By the end of this year, there is the potential for 8 approved medicines powered by our innovation, half of which would be DuoBody-based bispecifics. This is validation of the DuoBody technology's potential to create truly differentiated bispecific antibody therapeutics, and our growing recurring revenue streams allow us to continue to invest in our pipeline and in our people. Our world-class team of experienced and dedicated colleagues drives our innovation motivated by the passion for making a difference in the lives of people living with cancer and other serious diseases.
Let's now turn to recent accomplishments that will support our future success. Slide 5. In the first quarter of the year, we continue to lay the groundwork for the potential approval of epcoritamab, and we are very excited for the potential upcoming launch and the opportunity to serve patients with third-line plus diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. The Alliance steel teams across sales and marketing, medical and market access are all in place and have been fully prepared for the launch. And our patient services team is also in place and fully ready. We are actively engaging with the FDA and look forward to the future enhancement at May 21 PDUFA date.
Pending approval, we anticipate epcoritamab will benefit third-line plus diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients, where the level of unmet need remains high. This indication will be the first that will enable epcoritamab to become the potential core therapy across the diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, follicular lymphoma and beyond. As part of our effort to deliver epcoritamab to relapse or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients together with AbbVie, we launched our first pre-approval and expanded access program. This program provides access to epcoritamab to a lot of our patients in the U.S. and Europe prior to potential regulatory approvals.
Looking beyond relapse refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma together with AbbVie, we are committed to a robust clinical development program, evaluating epcoritamab in a variety of patient populations and treatment settings. This includes frontline diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, and I'm just very pleased to say that in February and March, the first patients were dosed in 2 frontline diffuse large B-cell lymphoma studies. The Phase III EPCORE diffuse large B-cell lymphoma II study in combination with R-CHOP and the Phase II EPCORE diffuse large B-cell lymphoma III study with or without lenalidomide in elderly patients.
Turning to recent and upcoming data presentations. Multiple epcoritamab abstracts were accepted for presentation at ASCO, including an oral presentation of data from one of the arms of the EPCORE NHL-2 trial, looking at epcoritamab in combination with rituximab and lenalidomide in patients with high-risk relapsed or refractory follicular lymphoma. We and our partners also had several abstracts accepted for presentation at last month's AACR meeting. These include data from an interim analysis of Part C from the Phase II innovative 207 study of tisotumab vedotin and head and neck cancer or small cell carcinoma of head and neck. Though the number of patients including this in this initial data was small, just 15, the results demonstrated encouraging preliminary antitumor activity and an acceptable safety profile, highlighting tisotumab vedotin potential in solid tumors beyond cervical cancer.
Regarding programs followed by our innovations, DARZALEX continues to redefine the treatment of multiple myeloma. As you've seen, J&J's net sales for daratumumab were up 22% over the first quarter of 2022. And that is generating almost DKK 2 billion in royalties for us, contributing materially to our robust financials.
This brings me to the initial resolution of our second arbitration with Janssen relating to our daratumumab license agreement. As we announced last month, the arbitration panel dismissed our claims, though 1 of the 3 arbitrators dissent this. Subsequently, we announced our decision to file a request for a review of the awards. And as the arbitration is confidential, we do not intend to comment further, and we look forward to our continued collaboration with Janssen.
I would also like to acknowledge the appointment of Martine van Vugt to Chief Strategy Officer. Martina has been an integral part of Genmab almost from the beginning. In a new role, she will be responsible for overseeing the key areas of corporate strategy, corporate development, business development and licensing and alliance management. Martine's addition to executive management further strengthens our already exceptional team and will help us to effectively deliver on our 2030 vision.
Finally, I would like to bring to your attention an announcement in March from Lundbeck, Japan. Lu AF82422, which was created by Genmab as part of an agreement at Lundbeck, has been granted pioneer drug designation for the treatment of multiple system atrophy in Japan. And this designation provides further support for the potential of our innovative antibody therapeutics outside of oncology.
Let's move to Slide 6. When we revealed our updated vision last year, we noted that while we would continue our commitment to antibody therapies for oncology indications, we would also look to move an additional -- into an additional therapeutic area where our antibody expertise could make an impact. I'm very pleased to announce that we are entering the therapeutic area of immunology and inflammation as a stepping stone to achieving our inspirational 2030 vision.
As we announced in April, we entered a multiyear collaboration with Argenx to jointly discover, develop and commercialize novel therapeutic antibodies with applications in immunology as well as in oncology. By partnering with Argenx, we will be able to combine our company's deep knowledge of the biology and therapeutic power of antibodies and have an opportunity to address patient needs in oncology as well as in immunology and inflammation. We look forward to a successful partnership with Argenx and to providing you with updates on the progress of this collaboration once we are ready to bring new product candidates to the clinic. This, of course, will take some time.
I'm pleased to now hand over the call to Anthony to take you through our Q1 2023 financial results. Anthony, the floor is yours.
Anthony Pagano
Great. Thanks, Jan. We continue to strengthen our foundation in Q1. And of course, top of mind for everyone is the potential FDA approval of EPCORE later this month. And as we'll see, our financials remain strong.
Recurring revenues grew by 33% in Q1. This was principally driven by strong royalties from DARZALEX and other approved medicines. Our solid balance sheet, growing recurring revenues and significant underlying profitability allow us to continue to invest in our business and our pipeline in a very focused and disciplined way. And an important part of this has been to continue to build the team and capabilities that we need to succeed.
So let's take a look at those revenues in a bit more detail. We saw robust performance for DARZALEX in the first quarter of 2023. As you can see in the chart, overall, net sales grew by 22%. That's net sales of over $2.2 billion, which translates to almost DKK 2 billion in royalty revenue. This growth was driven by continued strong market shares, including strong adoption of the subcu formulation. For our royalties, we benefited from a higher effective royalty rate and an FX tailwind. And this is partially offset by a negative contractual hedge rate adjustment. So as you can see, DARZALEX remains a key driver of our revenue.
We grew total revenue to nearly DKK 2.9 billion in Q1. And as I've already highlighted, that included a 33% increase in our recurring revenue. And here, to be clear, that's on a reported basis. Excluding some FX tailwinds, recurring revenues grew by 28% on an operational basis. This strong growth was driven by DARZALEX and Kesimpta, was partially offset by lower TEPEZZA net sales, which according to Horizon were negatively impacted by seasonality. Now taken together, this growth really illustrates the power of our recurring revenue.
In line with the significant growth opportunities, total OpEx grew 51% in Q1. In R&D, we've accelerated our investment into our product portfolio, especially the advancement and expansion of EPCORE and, of course, other pipeline projects. We've also further strengthened our team to enhance our commercial capabilities and support our expanding pipeline. And of course, that includes the potential launch for EPCORE.
Now let's take a look at our financials as a whole. Here, you can see our summary P&L for Q1. Revenue came in at nearly DKK 2.9 billion. That's up 35% on last year. As mentioned previously, that's favorably impacted by a small FX tailwind. Total expenses were about $2.4 billion, with 72% being R&D and 28% SG&A. And here, even with the increased investment, we're still delivering over DKK 430 million of operating profit for the quarter.
Moving to our net financial items. Here, we have a loss of around $150 million, which was primarily driven by 2 partially offsetting items. First, we've got the weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Danish krone in Q1, and this is negatively impacting the value of our cash and investments. On the other side of the ledger, we have an increase in interest income due to higher effective interest rates. Then we have tax expense of $60 million, which equates to an effective tax rate of 21.2%. And that brings us to our net profit of over DKK 220 million. So as you can see, very solid financial performance to start the year.
So with that, let's take a minute to revisit our robust financial framework. First off, our revenue profile on the left. There are currently 6 products on the market that are generating significant recurring revenues, and we see a clear path to potentially expand a number of approved products with the potential approvals for EPCORE and Janssen's talquetamab. Taken together, we expect significant cash inflows in the years to come.
Now moving to the right. We remain focused in our investments as we evolve our organization for continued success. At the top of the list is accelerating and expanding EPCORE, but that's just one of the exciting opportunities that provide us with a compelling rationale for increasing our investment. As we've told you before, if we want to seize these meaningful opportunities, we've got to invest, and that's exactly what we're doing.
So with that background, let's now take a look at our guidance. To start, we're on track to meet the financial targets that we outlined back in February. As a reminder, note these projections are based on an assumed U.S. dollar-Danish krone exchange rate of 6.8. If we look at our revenues, we're off to a strong start with marketed products that are generating significant recurring revenues. So we continue to expect our revenue to be in the range of DKK 14.6 billion to DKK 16.1 billion. And most of this is made up of recurring revenue, where we're expecting 25% of operational growth. And as I just noted, for Q1, we're at 28%. For operating expenses, we expect to be in the range of DKK 9.8 billion to DKK 10.6 billion. As I previously highlighted, this step-up in investment is fully in line with our strategy and our focus on creating long-term value. Putting all this together, we're on track to deliver another year of substantial operating profit in a range of DKK 3.9 billion to DKK 6.2 billion.
So with that, let me provide a few closing remarks. In summary, we've had a very solid start to the year. We've created growing recurring revenue streams, and that gives us a strong backbone of significant underlying profitability, and we're investing those revenues in a highly focused way to realize our vision and to capitalize on the very significant growth opportunities in front of us.
And on that note, I'm going to hand you back over to Jan.
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, Anthony. In the first quarter of 2023, we continue to work towards our 2030 patients, where our KYSO antibody medicines are fundamentally transforming the lives of people with cancer and other serious diseases. As we near the PDUFA date for epcoritamab, we are enthusiastic about its potential launch. We are also looking forward to working with AbbVie to continue to expand EPCORE development with new studies.
We are collaborating with our partner Seagen to establish Tivdak as a clear choice for patients with metastatic cervical cancer. And together, we will continue to broaden the tisotumab vedotin clinical development program. We also very much look forward to data from the clinical expansion cohorts and progress to the next steps of both DuoBody molecules targeting 4-1BB that are in development with together with BioNTech. And we anticipate expanding and advancing other early-stage programs, including the potential for multiple INDs or CTAs this year.
Fundamental to our success is having the right team and culture in place. We intend to continue to scale our organization on our planned portfolio development and business needs. Finally, we will continue to leverage our solid financial base to support our growth. We have a lot to look forward to in the coming months.
So that ends our presentation of Genmab's financial results for the first quarter of 2023. Operator, please open the call now for questions.
Question-and-Answer Session
Operator
[Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from the line of Michael Schmidt.
Michael Schmidt
As we head closer to the epcoritamab PDUFA date here later this month, could you just talk about your expectation for potentially required inpatient monitoring around EPCORE and hospitalization that may be required, how that might affect commercialization? And any other expectations as we sort of look forward to seeing the FDA-approved label for the therapy? And then secondly, could you just remind us of your go-forward plans for filing in other indications this year, perhaps, for example, in follicular lymphoma or other cancer types?
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, Michael, for the questions. I can handle both. With regard to the potential label and hospitalizations, that is, of course, a question for the out authorities for the FDA. We are actively discussing with the FDA how to ensure both safe and appropriate use of EPCORE. And I can tell you that, actually, you will see it from the label discussions what the outcome will be as it relates to hospitalization. I think we're in very productive discussions with the authorities, and it's up to them to decide, and then we'll come back to that once we hear the label. But we are very pleased with the progress of the discussions, and we look forward to basically the coming weeks, Michael. I think it will be exciting times.
And as it relates to further submissions, definitely the follicular lymphoma data will come this year. And we are fully scheduled to actually submit based, of course, on positive data from the study to the regulatory authorities and potentially in different territories this year. I will give you further updates, Michael, during this year once we have the data.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Chang.
Unidentified Analyst
On the appeal of the second arbitration resolution, are you able to provide any color on how we should be thinking about time lines and your level of confidence on the outcome? And then second question, maybe just more specifically on GEN1047. Can you discuss how the study is progressing and when we might see initial clinical data from this program?
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, Jonathan, for the questions. Unfortunately, we cannot give you too much information on the appeal. We definitely will file an appeal to the second arbitration. The time line should still allow for a verdict on that appeal this year and probably after the summer, immediately after the summer. But it's, of course, up to the arbitrators, Jonathan. It's inherently uncertain what the exact timing will be, but we hope definitely for an outcome this year. And levels of confidence, we believe that we are adequately and morally on the right side of the line.
And actually, we believe that the awards from the first arbitration is very, very clear and that as we understand it will lead to the conclusion that actually the subcutaneous formulation of DARZALEX is a separate product according to the contract, and that is exactly what you will ask the arbitrators in the second arbitration to judge on. And I think we are confident that we're doing the right things. But in the end, it's down to the legal system. I cannot give you any further feedback on that.
Then for 1047, we are still doing dose escalation. It's going well. And once we have the whole dose escalation data set enhanced, Jonathan, we will actually present the data as we usually do now for all of our early-stage clinical programs. We want to collect all of the data for the dose escalation, and then we'll actually present at a medical conference and also flag it up to the outside world. So it's going well, and we are progressing with the dose escalation. That's all I can say at this point.
Operator
And the question comes from Peter Welford.
Peter Welford
I've got three quick ones, if you don't mind. Firstly, just coming back to epcoritamab on the third-line follicular. I wonder if you could possibly set the theme for us as to what you think is a bit of bother to enable a regulatory filing this year. And presumably, again, we're talking response rates, complete response rates and the duration that complete response is maintained. I'm curious if you can give us an update as to what you think the minimum sort of volume of data is to be to go to the regulators, particularly FDA.
Secondly, just on the Argenx deal, or actually more broadly immunology. Is this -- should we think of this as your big step into immunology, if you like? And then there are going to be -- I think you've sort of talked about bolt-on deals where we look at both targets and other sort of technology set that you bring into that. Or should we still think there's likely to be another perhaps even larger sort of in scale and concept deal to come as you move into this new therapeutic area? And then just finally, on the, I guess, a mandatory question, if you like, the 1042 and 1046, any updated thoughts on when we could potentially get data, whether it's likely to be by the end of this year or next year for the dose escalation expansion cohorts?
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, Peter, for the questions. For the third-line follicular lymphoma data, I don't think we have discussed the bar that you want to hit basically with epcoritamab, but it will definitely be at the level of the overall response rate and the duration. The -- so we are very excited about what we see in the various follicular lymphoma settings, both monotherapy, as in combination, as you know, from last year as we had spectacular data. I think the data actually gets better and better, but we haven't seen the readout on the third-line plus cohort yet. Once we see that readout, we will definitely present the data and also actually discuss them with the regulators in both U.S. and Europe, potentially as well in Japan. But we haven't given the bar we're aiming for publicly at this moment.
Then as it relates to the Argenx deal, that is indeed a first step into the immunology and inflammation field. And we intend to indeed broaden that a bit further, activity of the company, both organically and inorganically. Organically by getting access to targets, we want to actually use our proprietary technology platforms for, to create better differentiated antibody-based medicines. But also potentially involving inorganic-type deals, as we said publicly, where we can bring in either technology in immunology and inflammation field, proprietary technologies, which we think will complement our suite of technology platforms or perhaps even product candidates into our pipeline to accelerate or move into the immunology and inflammation fields.
Separate from that, we already have a number of preclinical programs active with our entirely Genmab programs, where we already are creating or have created the clinical candidates in our preclinical pipeline. We will actually update you further, Peter, once we are ready to move into a CTA filing or an IND filing. So we will progress at multiple fronts. The activity profiles get broader and broader in the immunology and information field. We are very serious about that therapeutic area.
Hence, the Argenx deal was simply the first step into strategically working with a leading company with a similar science-based focus and purpose-driven approach as we have, which we know very well. And actually working already on 2 targets, one for immunology and inflammation, one for cancer in a 50-50 strategy, but there may be other partnerships following basically further boltening our questions in immunology and inflammation field. So more updates are likely to come in the coming time.
Then 1042, 1046. We are very rapidly progressing now with recruitment in different arms for 1042, 1046. And you will see data likely in the second half of this year for both programs, hopefully, allowing us to move forward to late-stage clinical development, potentially even for both bispecific programs. So we continue to be very, very impressed by the profiles of both bispecific antibodies, but we need more data, also to have productive discussions with the regulators. Because ideally, Peter, we will first share the data that the regulators already have feedback on the potential move to potential late-stage development and then present the data at a medical conference. There's a number of medical conferences in the second half of '23. This, I think, would qualify for some of these datasets.
There are multiple datasets being worked on for 1042. We are working on frontline melanoma, lung cancer, head and neck cancer and pancreatic cancer, added together with pembro, pembro plus chemo depending on what the standard of care is. And you will probably not see all of the cohorts this year. Some of the cohorts will likely come next year because some move more quickly than others and generating more robust datasets.
And for 1046, we have also multiple cohorts we are recruiting as we speak, and I can tell you with positive data in several of the cohorts. But not all of these data will likely become available this year, Peter. We'll probably do that once we have enough data to allow us to draw a conclusion on potential next steps in those lines of treatment, in those cancers. But we are getting more and more enthusiastic about these programs, and I think the second half of this year will be the beginning of a data-rich era for these programs.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Emily Field.
Emily Field
Maybe just some logistical questions around epcoritamab. Assuming approval on May 21, how quickly after that do you expect to be launching? And then when do you imagine that you would start disclosing revenue or kind of early launch metrics following, hopefully, an approval? And then another question on the Argenx partnership. It sounds like that, that sort of could produce either immunology-targeting assets or oncology-targeting assets. Is that the right way to think about it? And it's more just combining complementary technologies? Or should we think about this really as you are towards producing immunology assets?
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, Emily, for the questions. For epcoritamab, we hope that we actually get the approval from the U.S. authorities quite quickly and, hopefully, at the latest by May 21, which is in the weekend, but hopefully before that. So -- and what I understand from the team is that we are actually ready to launch very, very quickly after we get a potential approval. All is ready to go. But of course, it depends on how ready we are based on the feedback on the [indiscernible] how quickly we can launch. But it would be likely within a matter of weeks, if not shorter, what I understand.
And the revenue reporting, I think we will get some color, I think, in Q2, hopefully, on revenue. And I don't know whether how detailed we will do the reporting. I will definitely give you color, Emily, on how the launch -- initial launch is going. There's a lot of positive feedback from the hospitals and from the doctors, and we are already in discussions with healthcare providers on the positioning of the drug and on the need for that medicine for some time. So I think we have a pretty good feeling for the level of enthusiasm, but I think we will probably in the second half of this year start to give some further detailed color on the launch under the assumption that the product will be approved in the United States.
Then Argenx, this is basically all about combining the suites of proprietary antibody technologies, which are not overlapping. They are complementary between both companies and then together work on pathways, which could actually -- until both immunology targets as well as oncology targets. And we actually started already, Emily, on one oncology and one immunology target as we speak. So I think it will feed both pipelines for both the cancer and the immunology and inflammation franchise for both companies. And this is a true 50-50 that we would equally share the expenses and upside from these potential products.
And we are already having -- working on concrete programs as we speak, and I think there's great complementarity. We have, of course, a lot more cancer models and cancer expertise based on Genmab's track record up to now. And Argenx has very, very good immunology expertise and models already operational. So this will actually accelerate, I think, and synergize the activities already ongoing and new activities for both companies. So we're very excited, Emily, about this strategic partnership. I think there's a very good alignment in the scientific focus, and I think this bodes quite well for the future.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Asthika Goonewardene.
Asthika Goonewardene
I want to just maybe touch on the question on Argenx. Just want to clarify something. You said you already have one oncology asset that you're sort of working on right now. If it goes into a full provision and maybe to market, is there a scenario that Argenx will actually act under and co-promote this product with you, given that they don't really have much of an oncology franchise? And then I wanted to back up on the question on 1042 and 1046 and make sure I heard this right. Did you say that by the end of the year that you're optimistic of the path forward for both those assets to go forward? Just want to make sure I had the right because I think there was some understanding that it might have been one or the other. So I just want to clarify that, too.
Jan van de Winkel
All right, Asthika. That's very nice question. Thank you very much. Now let me start with the Argenx partnership. We actually are very well defined who will take the lead of its programs and very likely for a cancer product, we will definitely share the upside, Asthika. But Genmab will likely be leading the commercialization.
But the other party, so Argenx in this case, can co-promote for sure. And the same for immunology and inflammation, it's very likely that, initially, Argenx would lead the commercialization of programs in that area, in immunology area. But Genmab would be entitled to co-promote in a 50-50 basis. So it would be actually for both disease areas of both companies, but the lead will likely be lying with one of the parties, and that has been very clearly defined in the agreement here. So -- but both companies have the option to actually further scale up in commercialization in the disease area, where they're currently not very active in.
Then as it relates to 1042 and 1046, we hope that at least 1 of those programs can be moved to late-stage clinical development, if not both. And what I said in my answer to, I believe it was for Peter Welford, is that both of the programs are doing very well. And of course, we need more data. And as I already explained before, data is not only response rate, it's also depth of response and duration in the various cohorts for both of the bispecific approaches. But there is a good chance that actually both would move forward to a late-stage clinical development based on data. But it's entirely data present, Asthika. So we'll let the data speak for itself and then take rational decisions, also potentially after we already have shared the data with the regulator and have some feedback on the potential next steps.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Phipps.
Matthew Phipps
One on Tivdak. Just curious how much more data you would want to see in head and neck to make a decision on moving that forward and the rationale for a different dose in head and neck versus cervical. Is that exposure or safety-related? And then kind of lastly, if the pending Seagen acquisition make it a little bit more difficult to come to these joint decisions on Tivdak development near term?
Jan van de Winkel
So thank you very much for the questions. For 2 questions, basically, Tivdak. The data is very, very encouraging. It's early data in head and neck in second-line plus head and neck. We -- by this time, we already have more data, and I think the pattern is consistent of what we presented recently, and we will actually collect a bit more data and then decide on next steps together with Seagen. We wanted -- the frequency of dosing is actually a bit higher here than in the labeled dosing for cervical cancer. And that is actually to get actually a higher amount of the medicine in the patients more effectively with still acceptable safety profile. So we are very encouraged by this data, and I think that we actually will collect in the coming months enough data to allow us to make a rationalization on next steps. And we have firm plans for that together with Seagen.
What I can also tell you is that we heard from Seagen by this time that the potential acquirer Pfizer of Seagen is also very excited about the data. In the meantime, I think we have already spoken with some of the colleagues from Pfizer and assuming that the transaction goes through, I think that actually -- I think there is a very, very good level of enthusiasm for Tivdak to move to the next stages in the second solid cancer outside of cervical cancer. And then in the second half of this year, we also hope to see frontline data in cervical cancer and combinations and triplets and quadruplets regimens. But also there, I think the data shapes up very nicely.
So I think that hopefully with Seagen or with Seagen and the new ownership, we will actually move not only to a second-line plus head and neck cancer in the course of this year, but potentially also to further in cervical cancer later on perhaps, even first-line head and neck cancer a bit further from that. So we're actually very encouraged by the profile of the medicine, it's very, very potent and it's very well manageable safety. So I believe that we have a good chance of creating a much more impactful medicine here with Tivdak in the coming time with Seagen and also with the potential new owners of the assets from the U.S. perspective.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of James Gordon.
James Gordon
James Gordon, JPMorgan. Two questions, please. One was about CD38 in competition. So can you just remind us how much of DARZALEX sales are still coming from use in refractory patients? And I ask because some people have been a bit worried about [indiscernible] competition. And do you think [indiscernible] is going to have any impact on DARZALEX in the next couple of years as it moves into earlier treatment lines? And assuming we do get competition in the frontline potentially around 2027, how much of a headwind do you think that would be, given I know there were some manufacturing issues and administration issues? So how much of a threat there? Another part of that question also, just there are new therapies coming along in multiple myeloma, including CAR-T. Do you think that does mean change or any less likely to want to go for HexaBody CD38 if there's other things like CAR-T that may be a little more promising?
And then the second question was on M&A. In terms of inorganic and dealmaking, do you have what you need in-house to do your own ADCs? Because I know you did a deal there. Or might you actually hunt for getting a link or a new payloads and actually ADCs might be where you want to expand into? And a final clarification, just on dealmaking. Are you done in terms of immunology in terms of looking for a larger partner? Or could you also -- as well as Argenx try and do an immunology deal with a large cap pharma company?
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, James. I think there are more than 2 questions for sure, but let me try to go over that in an orderly manner. So first and then to all DARZALEX and CD38 competition, what I clearly see is that actually maybe I should go first over the [indiscernible] data because you asked about basically the second line. Overall, in the U.S. in March, that was 40% of the patients are treated with DARZALEX, and the 39% of the new patient starts in the front line. 36% of the patients are getting treated with DARZALEX, with 39% of the new patients start and the second line, 53% of the patients and the same 53% in the third-line setting. So there's still a lot usage in combination.
And what I understand that actually, DARZALEX is the perfect combination drug, not only for the bispecifics like now TECVAYLI and potentially soon talquetamab but also for potential combination with CAR-T. And Janssen is already having a Phase III trial combining CAR-T with DARZALEX. So I don't think that actually that there will be a lot of competition for the position of the CD38.
And then the question for you asked is would Johnson be interested in HexaBody CD38, I think so because of several reasons. One is if HexaBody CD38 would be much more potent in the clinic than DARZALEX, that could be a fantastic next-generation combination partner for all of these other medicines in multiple myeloma. And also in the context of IRA legislation and complexity from that perspective, it could be very smart for Janssen to actually switch at some point, DARZALEX for a next-generation CD38 targeted medicines.
So I think the interest level should go up and not go down. We are now doing the head-to-head trial against subcu DARZALEX as we reflected in the Q1 report, James. So I think with more data next year, I think the interest level should potentially go up rather than go down. And we're not that worried about competition for DARZALEX. I think DARZALEX has found a place as a core therapy, as a backbone therapy in multiple myeloma, and not only with the current agents, with the IMiDs and proteasome inhibitors, but also with the bispecifics, the new bispecifics and potentially even with CAR-T.
Then your second question as it relates to M&A. ADCs, we are actually having a lot of deals in place for ADCs. And we flagged up several, actually, not only [indiscernible] like with Synaffix. And we also work together with AbbVie in the ADC field. But also, we actually also have access to immune activators via the Bolt Therapeutics interaction. And actually, a number of other deals have been done in the ADC field. This, we have not even flagged up perfectly because there were early-stage deals on building blocks and components we need for building an ADC next-generation antibody therapeutic.
But ADCs are a very, very significant part already of our preclinical pipeline, James. So potentially, we could go broader because we like ADCs. I just -- you just heard my enthusiasm about Tivdak, the tisotumab vedotin, ADC together with Seagen, it's doing better and better, and this will become a very meaningful medicine, we believe, not only for cervical cancer, but also for other solid tumors in the future. But we see actually a lot of potential for ADCs, and we already have a fair number in our preclinical pipeline. And some of them will likely move to the clinic in the coming time.
And your third question is about immunology and inflammation, potentially deals with large cap. That would be possible, I think. There is a lot of interest for our technology platforms. I mean that is one of the reasons that we move into immunology and inflammation. So we believe that by having access to our proprietary antibody technology platforms, James, we can actually make much better therapeutics for immunology and inflammation that the current generation of naked antibody approaches is already making a big impact in some of these areas to think about the TNF alpha blockers, the IL-17 blockers, IL-23, the targeted antibody therapeutics.
We believe that by having smart use of our proprietary technology platform, we can actually make much better targeted medicines for immunology and inflammation diseases. And I can say there is a lot of interest from -- also from large cap pharma and working with us in these areas. But of course, the pitfall is that we are not going to do any deal unless we actually can hold on to 50% product ownership to the end, if not more, James. And that is going to be more difficult and challenging, we believe, at a large cap pharma because they would likely like to own more of the products than we are willing to give to them.
So in that context, I think it is actually likely that we see more deals and more activity from Genmab and perhaps even in the M&A field, but not necessarily with large cap pharma because they are likely not going to be very enthusiastic of giving up 50% of the upside or more to a biotech company. The times are changing. I think we will see more activity in this area. We are very enthusiastic of now more robustly marching into the immunology and inflammation therapeutic area and more to come in the future, James. That's probably where I want to leave it at this point.
Operator
And the question comes from the line of Peter Verdult.
Peter Verdult
Peter Verdult, Citi. Two questions, please. First, for Tahi or for Jan. Just with the Polivy approval now in frontline DLBCL done and dusted. Could you remind us how quickly do you intend to initiate a frontline DLBCL study with Polivy and EPCORE? That's question #1. And then question #2 for Anthony. I think I know the answer, but just with the cash pile growing ever bigger, is there a point in time going forward, is there a tipping point where there will be a change in your cash allocation priorities? Or do we -- should we just assume that you continue piling up the cash to give you full flexibility to follow the science and push things into place should need be? I just wanted to know whether there's a tipping point where you would perhaps consider other capital allocation priorities.
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, Peter, for the two questions. I can tell you that we are planning a number of frontline studies as we speak. And we will absolutely detail them at the point that we get regulatory feedback so that we can initiate those studies. And that actually is also not only other antibodies or antibody drug conjugates, but also small molecules, and even chemo in some instances. So you know that in the diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, we already have the R-CHOP combination with EPCORE ongoing and recruiting as we speak. But there will be more frontline studies, and we will give you further updates once we get feedback from the regulators on the combinations and the exact way we want to combine a bit epcoritamab, but a clinical program for EPCORE will become quite a bit broader in the coming time. Then handing over to Anthony for the second question.
Anthony Pagano
Yes. Thanks, Peter. To be clear, our capital allocation priorities absolutely remain unchanged. As you highlighted, as we continue on this growth trajectory and looking at the really exciting growth opportunities that we have, we think having that full flexibility of our balance sheet, that strong balance sheet to be absolutely essential to make sure we have the capital to invest in all of the exciting organic opportunities, and as Jan highlighted, if the right opportunity presents itself from a BD&L perspective or otherwise that we have that balance sheet and deploy that capital appropriately.
So the headline message, Peter, to answer your question directly is that our capital allocation priorities remain unchanged. And again, that balance sheet strength is going to be important as we continue to build out our business on multiple fronts for the next couple of years and potentially beyond.
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Yaron Werber.
Yaron Werber
This is Gina on for Yaron. Going back to your GEN3014, the HexaBody-CD38. Can you give us any more details on the trial designs, just how many patients you have in your head-to-head and other arms to the trial? And then also, what you think are the efficacy and safety benchmarks to move that program forward? And also as a follow-up kind of second question going back to GEN1042 and 1046, given that you think that there's a possibility for advancing both of these into late-stage clinical, have you thought about how you want to position these 2 assets relative to each other? Or perhaps what indications or settings do you think would be more safer one versus the other?
Jan van de Winkel
Thank you for the question. So with HexaBody-CD38 or 3014, they had to have two arms with CD38 naive collapsed refractory multiple myeloma. We haven't specified the size of the arms, but we hope that we actually can recruit them both this year. And actually, recruitment is going well at this moment, and you will hear next year the clinical data very likely also of that head-to-head arm, with HexaBody-CD38.
Then second question as it relates to 1042, 1046, the 4-1BB targeted bispecifics. We believe that we can actually position them differently in different solid tumors and different lines of treatment. As you know, we are testing 1042 in frontline melanoma, frontline lung cancer, frontline head and neck, and frontline pancreatic. At this moment, you have only seen a few patients data in head and neck. But very likely 1042 will be positioned in the frontline area for one or more of these solid tumors.
And 1046, I think the most likely is that we will actually go initially for lung cancer for non-small cell lung carcinoma, collapse refractory after checkpoint inhibitor for that because we have the most impressive data there until now. But there's also other cancers which we have not yet specified, where we see very good responses for 1046. So we have no worries about the positioning of these two bispecifics. We think that they will be positioned in the end in different tumors and different lines of treatment. More to come this year.
Operator
And the question comes from the line of Rajan Sharma.
Rajan Sharma
First one, just on OpEx. And could you just help us think about kind of phasing through 2023 and if there could be potentially a peak quarter through the year? And then secondly, just on DARZALEX. And could you provide any clarity on kind of what proportion of revenue were subcu in Q1 and how you see that progressing through the course of the year?
Jan van de Winkel
Thanks, Rajan. I will hand over both questions to Anthony. Anthony, please?
Anthony Pagano
Yes. Sure thing. I mean maybe sort of stepping back and looking at our overall investment profile, particularly the drivers, as we sort of thought about transitioning from 2022, 2023. I highlighted back in February, 4 key areas where we're really looking to deploy that capital and what was the drivers of the increase in OpEx year-over-year. As a reminder, those 4 areas, number one, was the portfolio advancement. That was making up around DKK 1.3 billion of the increase on a year-over-year basis at our guidance midpoint. We then had the further build-out and market build for U.S. and Japan of around DKK 400 million.
Then we had really investing and scaling up our world-class discovery engine, including the investments to move into a new therapeutic area of around DKK 100 million. And then finally, in the enabling functions, some very important foundational investments in these functions to achieve the required scale. So these are the 4 areas that we highlighted as part of the reasons behind the growth drivers between 2022 and 2023. And as I look at the results in Q1 so far, that's exactly where that increase is as I look at the year-over-year figures. And as I sit here today, that absolutely remains true.
Now particularly on your question on phasing. Look, this can be lumpy as a function of various spend, CMC or manufacturing investments. So no explicit quarterly phasing guidance, Rajan, other than to reiterate our full year guidance in the overall range of DKK 9.8 billion to DKK 10.6 billion.
In terms of the subcu split in Q1, our commentary is going to be very limited, just limited to the U.S. market. And more recently, we've seen that in the high 80s or around 88% being subcu. Now outside of the U.S., our visibility is much more limited, and we're not in a position to really share that information. What I can say is that in terms of the 88%, that's in line with our overall thinking and projections for a year. Again, what I highlighted back in February when we gave our full year guidance is we're expecting to be on a full year basis globally in the 90% range.
Operator
There are no further questions at this time, so I would like to hand back for closing remarks.
Jan van de Winkel
Thank you all for calling in today to discuss Genmab's financial results for the first quarter of 2023. If you have any additional questions, please reach out to our Investor Relations team. We hope that you all stay safe, keep optimistic and remain healthy. And we very much look forward to speaking with you again soon.
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
For further details see:
Genmab A/S (GMAB) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript