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According to the leading indicators of economic growth, the business cycle looks set to enter a period of material deceleration in the months ahead. This growth downturn is a continuation of the slowdown that began in the latter half of 2021.
Combined with this downturn in growth, the liquidity and earnings cycles remain significant headwinds for pro-cyclical equities and risk assets for the time being.
Investors will do well to continue to maintain an underweight exposure to risk assets.