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With today's release of the August CPI, it looks on the surface as if inflation is moderating, much as the Fed has been hoping.
Looking deeper, though, I think it still pays to be skeptical - especially since the belief that this inflation flareup is merely transitory has been fully embraced by the bond market.
Now, large and rapid growth in the money supply isn't necessarily inflationary, providing it occurs at a time when the demand for money is surging.