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STIP - TIP: Breakevens Back On The Rise As Fed Set To Give Up The Inflation Fight
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond
2024-03-05 10:24:44 ET
Summary
Inflation expectations have risen over recent months, particularly at the 2-year horizon, and are set to intensify as the Fed sides with reducing debt servicing costs over fighting inflation.
The Fed may be forced to restart Quantitative Easing to prevent Treasury yields from rising, leading to a rise in inflation and a move lower in real yields.
The iShares TIPS Bond ETF offers a real yield of 2% and the potential for 13% capital gains as real yields decrease back to zero.