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QVMS - Worst Of Stock Market Losses Come During Recessions And Rate Cuts
Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 QVM Multi-factor ETF
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET
Summary
A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years.
In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll report fell to 34.4 hours - the lowest since April 2020 when the economy was in COVID-19 lockdown.
Today, most central banks, led by the US Fed, remain in monetary tightening mode.