AGZ News and Press, iShares Agency Bond From 02/22/24

2024-02-22 12:30:00 ET Summary Both US Consumer Price Index and US Producer Price Index data for January were hotter than expected, but it was no cause for concern, in my opinion. The most recent gross domestic product prints for Japan and the UK show that both economies were tech...

2024-02-21 00:04:00 ET Summary Clearly, the markets believe the next move will be toward lower rates, but no one should be surprised by the fact that a rate increase is possible. Two years ago, almost no one correctly forecast the recent path of interest rates. Recent policy e...

2024-02-20 13:50:00 ET Summary We think market optimism can persist for now but stay nimble. We get more active in our long-term portfolios given a greater dispersion of returns. U.S. stocks steadied after a brief dip on stronger-than-expected inflation data last week. We think th...

2024-02-20 07:00:00 ET Summary The resilience of the U.S. economy during 2023 owed much to low unemployment and excess savings built up through the pandemic. Excess savings may still be out there, but only among those on middle and higher incomes. Inflation in non-discretionar...

2024-02-19 10:35:23 ET Summary The inverted yield curve, historically a reliable indicator of recession, has not yet led to an economic contraction. Economist Campbell Harvey, who developed the yield-curve indicator, acknowledged its potential inaccuracy due to inflation-adjusted ...

2024-02-18 21:32:00 ET Summary It is that after trying to figure out whether the economy and markets would achieve a soft landing in the wake of the post-Covid tightening cycle, no one quite knows what to think now that the soft landing appears to have arrived. By and large, leadi...

2024-02-17 02:40:00 ET Summary This week was particularly trying, and most of all for the masses tethered to the “6 in ’24” narrative proclaiming six Fed funds rate cuts in 2024. Many of the categories that make up typical household budgets saw price gains in ...

2024-02-15 11:30:00 ET Summary Inflation and Treasury yields move together to a degree, but they’re hardly joined at the hip in the short term. For the most part, it’s reasonable to assume that inflation influences the 10-year, although at times the causality can flo...

2024-02-15 03:00:00 ET Summary Headline year-over-year inflation still came down - to 3.1% from December’s 3.4% - though remaining above the expected 2.9%. Core goods prices declined for the third consecutive month. Activity data and inflation numbers all suggest that m...

2024-02-14 20:44:00 ET Summary US inflation report, a wake-up call to markets. What January's CPI data means for bond market. Why markets are once again not listening to what the Fed is saying about rates. U.S. CPI data for January came in hotter than expected, cau...