BCM News and Press, iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN From 03/10/22

Events in Europe were seen as boosting global inflationary pressures and complicating supply chain disruptions. US producers are beginning to feel the effects of the inflationary environment via higher input costs. Most commodities are trading above the marginal cost of supply and...

Extreme monetary and fiscal policy would lead to inflation. Couple that with extreme supply chain issues, and here we are with really high inflation - highest inflation that we've seen really since the past 40 years. Our biggest risk right now is that we become entrenched. The psychol...

I have seen a fair amount of chatter about currency regime shifts. Although such an event may be happening, there is no particular reason to get too excited about it from the perspective of the developed countries. The events of recent years hopefully have made corporations more cogni...

Buyers (countries, investors, and traders) are panicking as the commodity Wheat gained more than 40% last week. Commodity markets surged to their largest gains in years as Ukrainian ports were closed and sanctions against Russia sent buyers scrambling for replacement supplies. Giv...

With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine into its second week, the economic fallout is gradually coming into focus. In our view, it is highly likely that economic growth will slow in the US and globally, but less so in the U.S. We expect market volatility to remain elevated for an...

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created significant uncertainty for the cycle outlook. The global economy was on track for strongly above-trend growth in 2022. The war in Ukraine will likely have a negative impact on growth and cause higher inflation this year, with Europe tak...

Russia-Ukraine conflict could push oil to $180 a barrel. Conflict also having major impact on agricultural commodities. High commodities prices may hamper global growth. For further details see: Oil's Price Surge May Not Be Done, As The Russia-Ukraine Conflict Intensifie...

This post attempts to put the dollar and commodity prices in some long-term perspective. What stands out the most is that the dollar is relatively strong vis a vis most other currencies, but commodity prices are also very strong. It's also not hard to argue that the current surge ...

How much economic pain is the world willing to bear as a result of the sanctions, when it’s likely uber-wealthy Putin will bear none of it? The Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex had its best week on record, with aluminum, copper and nickel all hitting new record highs in Lon...

Almost every commodity rose in prices last week, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession in the coming year has risen significantly in just the last week. There was considerable volatility in stocks last week,...