CCRV News and Press, ISHARES US ETF TR From 11/08/22

Summary The U.S. inflation report is likely to remain the most economic piece of data for markets, for the foreseeable future. Falling inflation eventually will allow central banks to perform the much-discussed pivot, both in terms of the speed of tightening and eventual terminal ...

Summary While broad commodities have outperformed most major asset classes year-to-date,1 the pressure of rising interest rates, a strong U.S. dollar and fears of several large economies tipping into recession have led to a pullback since the summer of 2022. Since we published our...

Summary After rallying 9% off the October 12 bottom, the market pulled back last week but still sits 5.4% above the low point. Commodities are trouncing all other major asset classes on a YTD basis, largely due to the rise in oil, natural gas, and agricultural prices. The newe...

Summary Fed's Powell remains hawkish on rates, despite dovish overtures in statement. The Fed reiterates its intension that rates will remain high until inflation is cracked. Why rates are going to be higher for longer, even after inflation comes down. Th...

Summary Stocks and bonds have been highly correlated to each other this year. The reintroduction of inflation has created new complications — and opportunities. The current trends around commodities are long-term and global. By Hakan Kaya, PhD A lagg...

Summary The global economy has been hit by several headwinds, almost all of them leading back to higher inflation. Europe is likely already in recession, the U.S. will enter recession in Q2 2023, while China struggles to make recovery headway. Markets have faced up to the reality ...

Summary Global GDP growth is still expected to be positive in 2022 (excluding Russia) but is expected to fall fairly dramatically in 2023. The U.S. Q3 2022 earnings season has just begun, and the outlook is for lower but still positive revenue and earnings growth. Inflation wi...

Summary Stocks started the week waiting with bated (baited?) breath for the inflation reports of the week. It isn’t surprising that the market is focused firmly on the rearview mirror for clues about the future since Jerome Powell has made it plain that is his plan. Sto...

Summary Even after their correction over the past few months, commodities have been one of the best-performing asset classes in the markets this year and over the past couple of years. As a result, many investors have come to the conclusion that they have missed the trade. The...

Summary Over the last two weeks Federal Reserve officials delivered 37 speeches, all of the speakers competing to see who could be the most hawkish. The big problem with the Fed’s plan to kill inflation by reducing economic growth and raising the unemployment rate is that t...