COMT News and Press, iShares Commodities Select Strategy ETF From 08/01/22

Taylor Rule Rate is at the highest level in decades. Low LME inventories, indicating shortages in commodities. Household savings are at a high level compared to 2008. Inflation has become sticky. CAPEX is at a secular low level for commodities. As many investors ...

COMT does well to reduce rolling risk and has a good track record of outperforming the Bloomberg Commodity Index. Underlying conditions in the commodity space look vulnerable. COMT's heightened risk profile makes it an inappropriate bet at a time when most inter-market signals are...

Most major economies are dealing with inflation highs not seen in decades. Market expectations of peak policy rates have declined since June, likely reflecting the significant slowdown in activity as well as recent commodity price declines. Tightening financial conditions as well ...

Despite being dragged down with most other asset classes in June’s selloff, resource equities have continued to exhibit remarkable resilience relative to broad equities, bonds and other real assets over the last year. Many resource companies - particularly in oil and gas explor...

The Fed is intent on raising interest rates to fight inflation and must balance the risk that creates for economic growth. In an analysis of growth versus value stocks using data since 1927, we found value had achieved greatest outperformance in periods of moderate to high inflation. ...

Are CTAs, managed futures, and trend followers getting crushed? Why has the SocGen Trend Index, approximating performance of trend followers, held up the past month and a half despite some rather violent commodity retracements? There is more going on in trend following than just commo...

There have been winners and losers. Some net commodity exporters, like Brazil and South Africa, have seen current accounts improve as commodity prices and revenues have surged. However, for many emerging markets, food security is a growing concern, and net importers are particularly a...

Two opposing forces appear to be dominating the market currently, with investors polarized between recession fears and bargain hunting following this year’s large equity selloff. Investors priced in most central bank tightening and seem more confident with the inflation outlook...

Chinas' property sector has been a major driver of commodity prices over the last couple of decades. The Chinese property sector has been a major driver of Chinese monetary policy, and thus has a significant influence on the Chinese economy. The previous correlation between the pr...

The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...