CUT News and Press, Invesco MSCI Global Timber From 07/13/21

The best news last week was the continuing decline in global bond yields, including the 10-year Treasury rate falling below 1.4% last Tuesday. If and when the Fed decides to raise key short-term interest rates, I don’t think they will be able to raise rates by much, since the f...

PaulGrecaud/iStock via Getty Images Lumber futures (LB1:COM) have surrendered all of their astronomical 2021 gains, settling -5.6% today to $712.90 per 1,000 board feet in Chicago, as demand eases and supply expands in response to earlier gains. At one point, lumber futures were trading as hi...

Taiyou Nomachi/DigitalVision via Getty Images Kyle Little, COO of Sherwood Lumber Corp., said Thursday that he expects a bounce in lumber prices in the next two or three weeks, as the market responds to normal seasonal pressures. Little told CNBC that even with the extreme volatility of the l...

Headline inflation numbers have been brutal, with the CPI rising at rates that would normally call for a fast, hard tightening. Price trends in the industrial and agricultural commodities space are generally flattening, with only iron ore continuing higher. As supply chains unkink...

Lumber is driven by home building, which is in an upturn. Oil is driven by a similar dynamic. Natural gas is in a deficit but is more complicated. Commodities staying high will drive inflation. For further details see: Inflation In Depth: Lumber, Oil And Natural Gas ...

The US Fed acknowledged that financial conditions and inflation expectations had rebounded faster than they had predicted, and they now expect to increase their presently near-nil policy rates twice in 2023. Against the commodity-centric loonie, the greenback bounced off the $1.20 dow...

Murilo Gualda /iStock via Getty Images Agriculture related stocks join other commodities in falling sharply in the wake of the Federal Reserve's higher interest rate outlook. Sugar (SB1:COM) and coffee (KC1:COM) futures slide to three-week lows, and other crop futures from soybeans to corn al...

The US PPI, with updated estimates for May 2021 released by the BLS today, may have already peaked. Europe’s further lackluster HICP for April was confirmed on May 19, representing the most recent top in German bunds. Small wonder bond yields globally have ignored one huge ...

The onset of the pandemic triggered widespread business closures - and lumber mills were not spared. While the lumber price surge has meant higher costs for the end consumer, it’s been a boon for the other end of the supply chain. If housing and construction demand should s...

Like a lot of parts of the global economy, housing/wood/material each saw a drop in both supply and demand given last year’s recession. Once beyond the commodity-induced price effects, it becomes clear the economy is settling back into the same disinflationary circumstances or ...