DBP News and Press, Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund From 05/03/22

During the last Fed rate raising cycle, it took the Federal Reserve five years to raise the fed funds rate to 2.50%. The Fed kept rates far too low for far too long and now we are dealing with the consequences. Both fiscal and monetary policy have been highly inflationary, and we are ...

The major markets’ technical review will help readers understand the underlying technical conditions for potential opportunities and risk management. This helps refine not only decision making about what to own and when but what to overweight or underweight to achieve better pe...

The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...

The phenomenal rise in the US monetary inflation rate from early-2020 to early-2021 set in motion an economic boom. Over the past few decades, a boom-to-bust transition for the US economy didn’t begin until after the monetary inflation rate (the year-over-year True Money Supply...

As silver makes an upside breakout on good volume above $30, initially confirmed by several closes above that price, the number of investors will immediately begin to shrink. My back-of-the napkin guess is that less than 20% of those with positions in that market took even close to 50...

The Ukraine invasion and surging inflation were key factors driving both the gold price and demand. Gold ETFs had their strongest quarterly inflows since Q3 2020, fuelled by safe-haven demand. Tough new lockdowns imposed to contain a resurgence of COVID-19 had a marked impact on d...

Silver prices have retreated since hitting a multi-year high in early March. The fundamentals for silver generally support the case for higher prices. The silver market experienced a deficit of 51.8 million ounces, according to the World Silver Survey, the biggest since 2010. ...

Only one major asset was up last week: REITs. There were some negative developments that might explain the selling. With the drop in commodities and fears about the impact of the China slowdown, the immediate effect should be for inflation and growth expectations to moderate. We didn&...

Surging U.S. real bond yields appear to be putting pressure on investment demand for silver, while a deteriorating economic growth outlook poses a risk to industrial demand. However, the metal is now trading at record levels of undervaluation relative to gold and the commodity complex...

Real yields and Gold are inversely correlated. Real yield and gold rose together, which is atypical but not extraordinary in the short term. Financial markets are reaching extremes that could precipitate a systemic collapse or another reversal by the Fed to more stimulus. Fo...