DBP News and Press, Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund From 05/17/22

The metal broke below down trendline support last week amid broad-based weakness in metals, but the downside break has since been nullified by a relatively strong bounce. Silver is now trading at record low levels based on its historical correlation with gold and the commodity complex...

Larry Summers, former US Secretary of the Treasury and now at Harvard University, said in an interview on May 13, 2022, that he has been warning about inflation for some time. The overheated labor market is driving service prices up, which is at the core of the inflation numbers. ...

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Central banks are tightening, the global commodities shock is intensifying, and over the first few days of April the 2/10 treasury yield curve – i.e., the spread between the U.S. 2-year and 10-year treasury yields – turned negative. The March U.S. Consumer Price Index ro...

Our macroeconomic forecasting team assesses how the war and latest survey data have altered the economic outlook, policymaking and recession risks. Global growth was dragged lower, principally by steep contractions in Russia and mainland China. Barring the initial COVID-19 outbreak, M...

It was a tremendous week of market volatility for every asset class on Wall Street. It is still all about inflation and what will be the reaction from central banks. A challenging inflation and growth mix have driven investor concerns that the Fed won’t be able to deliver a...

Wages are rising rapidly to try to keep up with the pace of inflation. We think that this is leading us to the early stages of a wage price spiral. During periods of high inflation, traditionally, real assets prosper while traditional assets suffer. So traditional assets typically suf...

The stock market as measured by the S&P 500 is down about 15% year-to-date. COMEX gold will soon make another 'higher low'. Silver is acting just as predictably as COMEX gold. For further details see: Reality Bites: An Update

The Consumer Price Index inflation rate slowed at 8.3 percent. The 10-Year note is at 3.01, moving back above 3 percent. We appear to be building a bottom in gold, silver, the NASDAQ, and S&P. One thing that the mainstream media appears to be missing is the closure of the ...

Through rising real yields, a slowing economy and poor seasonality, short-term headwinds remain for gold and precious metals. However, this move higher in real yields is unlikely to last, and will soon turn from a headwind to tailwind for gold. In an environment of ongoing geopoli...