DBP News and Press, Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund From 07/09/22

It will be a busy week for Fed speak as Williams talks about LIBOR on Monday, Barkin discusses recession on Tuesday, Waller speaks on Thursday and Bostic talks on Friday. Energy traders will have a lot to keep their eye on next week as President Biden makes a trip to the Middle East a...

In the near term, gold will likely remain reactive to real rates, driven by the speed at which global central banks tighten monetary policy in an effort to control inflation. Inflation remains at historically high levels. The challenging environment has implications for consumer d...

Despite all the bullish signals, precious metals and miners continued lower this week. Silver is way more bearish than gold right now, so silver is likely closer to its bottom and will blow past gold once the rally begins. Commercials continue to have their lowest short position s...

Even though I expect reported inflation to remain uncomfortably high through at least the end of this year, it's becoming clear, on the margin, that the inflation dynamics are improving for the better. A strong dollar has almost always coincided with weak commodity prices, but we saw ...

Volatility in the markets this year has largely been driven by the rise in inflation. Equity prices remain extremely elevated while gold prices remain relatively depressed. Episodes of rising inflation typically see just the opposite. If inflation proves more durable than markets ...

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Once the COVID distortions are over the economy will return to its previous state of roughly 2% growth and 2% inflation. Real sales of durable goods surged throughout COVID but accelerated rapidly with stimulus payments; sales peaked right as Biden’s American Rescue Act was imp...

The SPX should be bottoming out for the next few months. The metals are setting up their own bottoming. The TLT could see one more lower low before a major rally takes hold. For those that have been reading me lately, you would know that I have been taking a lot more tim...

When equities fall, expected interest rates decline but that hasn’t happened amid persistent inflation. When it comes to higher rates, the Federal Reserve has already raised rates 1.5%, and both Fed fund futures and the Fed’s own statements suggest that they might hike a...

Even with rising interest rates and the dollar at multi-year highs, gold has held its ground. Holding gold does not generate interest income like a bond or a bank account. In fact, according to an analysis by the World Gold Council, real yields below 2.5% have not been substantial...