DBS News and Press, Invesco DB Silver Fund From 10/31/22

Summary Swaps increased net shorts over the month which helped drive total net positioning slightly higher. There has never been a downward move like the recent one. The Fed might be dialing back the hawkish talk this week which could be the soft pivot that marks a bottom in t...

Summary India is almost in the middle of its annual festive season, when demand for gold and silver peaks. Global bullion prices currently range about $1,700 an ounce, with a net drop of around 8% in dollar terms in CY2022. Indian gold rates are influenced mainly by US interes...

Summary Due to the Fed's rate hike regime, the Dollar Index has been rallying since the summer of 2021. A drop below the 50-day and then 110 would signal that the uptrend has been broken. One should expect the U.S. Dollar Index to anticipate the eventual Fed policy reversal an...

Summary Since breaking below $1700, gold has been trapped around $1650. Silver saw a strong rally above $21 but then broke down below $20 again. While many indicators are bearish, the absolute lack of interest shows that the market is starting to bottom. ...

Summary October gold saw very strong delivery for a contract that is neither major nor minor (10x bigger than minor but 1/10th the size of major). Total contracts delivered so far (22,450) is 20% larger than last October and still has about 800 contacts remaining in Open Interest....

Summary On a weekly basis, we can see that Gold remains in a bullish flag pattern. Silver more often than not disappoints, then one day, it just goes ballistic. The level of desperation has reached the point where the Treasury asked primary dealers if Treasury should buy back ...

Summary We've been waiting all year for the eventual Fed "pivot", but there are no signs of it yet and, for now, COMEX precious metal prices continue to fall. In our annual forecast we wrote back in January, we stated that "2022 was going to be a volatile and unpredictable year", ...

Summary The relentless fall in gold inventories continued again in October. While the overall vault decrease has slowed somewhat, the fall in Registered (925k) has already exceeded the total in September (600k) and will more than likely eclipse June (942k). The story in silver...

Summary The Fed continues to emphasize that they plan to stay the course on rate hikes to reduce inflation back down to 2%, which is virtually impossible given that inflation is a supply-side phenomenon. Performance of the monetary metals since the FOMC rate hike on September 21 h...

Summary The UBS Constant Maturity Commodity Index and other commodity index strategies slumped during September. CMCI declined by 5.5% in September but remains up 8.4% year-to-date. The Bloomberg Commodity Index declined by 8.1% in September and remains up 13.6% year-to-date. ...