DJP News and Press, iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return ETN From 02/05/22

2022 is starting with several issues that could create serious volatility for traders in the months ahead. The situation in the Indo-Pacific is a slowly developing story between China and Taiwan. The Ukrainian situation is a bit different in that there are two main markets which c...

We believe that the CPI has flaws in estimating the inflation rate. The Phillips Curve helps us to understand only the past. Financial markets seem to have overreacted in their fear of the Fed. For further details see: Phillips Curves And The Fed

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...

Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, discusses his thoughts on the top themes to watch going into 2022. The world economy came into 2021 like a car going 200 miles an hour, which fueled by the biggest stimulus we'd gotten since World War II. The Fed is sort of the cause of the uncertainty ...

Drivers of commodity performance in 2022. Risks for raw material markets. Geopolitical and domestic considerations in 2022. The green trend and infrastructure building favor raw materials. A continuation of bullish trends despite the dollar. The rally has been a mirag...

We have seen crypto disruption expand across the financial system and expect this to continue. Inflation pressures may linger through 2022 and pose a risk of spiraling into a more persistent economic factor. Historically in these market environments, real assets—including n...

Despite ongoing inflation hype, the U.S. prices paid trend indicator peaked in June 2021 and turned down - this typically leads ISM Manufacturing prices by 2-3 months and suggests inflationary pressures will continue to reverse. Commodities are signalling a similar story, with the Gol...

Investors gain confidence when they have a clear sense of direction, particularly regarding short-term market moves. This is increasingly true as markets move closer to the top of a major phase. Thus, extreme confidence, while generally reassuring, is a warning sign of a nearby top. ...

Certainly, rising metals prices are seen as an inflationary pressure themselves. However, they can also be seen as a hedge against inflation if the expectation is metal prices will continue to rise. Metals have largely failed to react so far to inflation fears. If the market b...

The last 18 months have been the zenith of two decades of monetary madness and speculative mayhem. The IPOX SPAC index, a mix of 50 SPACs and De-SPACs (another marketing euphemism for junk), is, so far, down 32% from its 2021 peak. Following the risk-off trade, most global commodi...