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The Weekly Grind podcast is designed to wake up your investment brain with weekly overviews of financial markets and other economic-related topics. Episode 3 Market Review, Stock Ideas, and The Weekly Rant: Market Forecasting Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article w...

"Luck is believing you're lucky." - Tennessee Williams While enjoying a much-needed short break from blogging, hence our uncommon silence, we still managed to follow the macro news such as February's anemic 20,000 new jobs creation in the United States from the latest nonfarm payroll repor...

By Jim Iuorio At a Glance Stocks rallied during the government shutdown, bucking the historical trend. But there was a critical difference this time around. As we put the government shutdown further and further into the rear-view mirror, it’s probably a good time to reca...

Quantitative tightening has been running at full speed for almost 5 months now (and for a total period of 17 months since commencing in October 2017), and with QT finally coming front of mind for investors I thought it would be a good idea to update some of the charts from my previous " 8 Char...

There's nothing like a paltry 20,000 gain in total nonfarm payrolls to get market participants talking. That is exactly what happened on Friday, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the February jobs report. The debate is now fully engaged: Is this soft showing for payroll growth the b...

The odds are virtually nil that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates through early 2020, according to Fed funds futures. Driving the market's forecast: accumulating signs that the economy is slowing and inflation remains subdued. As long as this one-two punch remains in force, which s...

In the decade between "60 Minutes" interviews, the central bank has sparked a recovery without inflation but not much else. Friday marks the 10-year anniversary of the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's groundbreaking "60 Minutes" interview . To listen to current Fed Chairman Jero...

David Beckworth has a nice interview with Ryan Avent , which touches on a number of monetary issues. In the final part of the interview, they both suggest that the Fed may be treating their 2% (PCE) inflation target as a sort of ceiling, rather than the symmetrical target the Fed claims to be...

Inflation took a step down this month. There is little need to repeat my monthly mantra. This takes us a step further to a situation where consumption may be waning, but the Fed thinks inflation is near their target because of high imputed rent inflation. And, they think the risk is toward mor...

I believe the stance of monetary policy and whether it is considered hawkish or dovish is not absolute and is more importantly relative to the global economy. The Federal Reserve's message could stay unchanged for the year, but the perceived hawkish-ness or dovish-ness of policy by the market ...