DMRL News and Press, DeltaShares S&P 500 Managed Risk ETF From 02/02/22

Markets have been blissfully ignoring the threat of monetary policy tightening, until now. Global equities are down 5-to-10% month-to-date in January, and the yield curve is flatter. What comes next? This week has been dominated by a discussion market participants will be familiar wit...

If Fed Funds are raised, then bonds go down, stocks go down, mortgage rates go up and housing prices go down. The rest of the decade is going to be very low interest rates and tons of money printing. This is the path to a major debt crisis. For further details see: Fed M...

The goal of the DDM is to quickly and easily utilize available resources of an asset to understand what the intrinsic value of that asset is based on certain market and company expectations. If the required return component of the equation rises without expectations of higher company ...

The persistence of the mind-boggling phenomenon of a labor shortage, and the accompanying shift in power from employers to workers was documented on Tuesday by the JOLTS data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The total number of workers who were laid off or discharged involuntarily...

Conventional wisdom holds that the U.S. economy is overheating. The jury is still out, but the latest reading on the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow real-time growth measure is pretty grim. Economic spirits might change dramatically in the next few months, with corresponding changes i...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...

Nominal GDP growth is likely to be solid this year, albeit not at 2021’s historic levels. The Fed's policy toolkit should consist of policy rate hikes as well as some reduction in its balance sheet. Equities will be hard-pressed to match last year’s gains. For ...

The stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. The recent stock market volatility is reinforcing the idea that the Federal Reserve’s more aggressive stance regarding hiking i...

Chairman Powell's tone was interpreted as too hawkish by markets last week. In turn, Wall Street banks forecast a more aggressive tightening of monetary policy. Fed members have responded this week in an effort to soften Powell's tone. The Fed may be behind the curve on inflat...

Taking into account the Fed comments from last week, recently one of our technical analysts forecasted a correct S&P Index price range of $4,348 to $4,261. The market has since corrected to that level and is now bouncing. The analysis of the broad stock market shows signs of i...