DMRS News and Press, DeltaShares S&P 600 Managed Risk ETF From 03/31/22

This is a presentation of my general theories of market analysis culled from my articles and presentations throughout the years. Clearly, I'm a big believer in market sentiment as a primary driver for market direction. I outline my views in detail in this 3-part series. For ...

Among the most surprising developments of 2021 was the collapse in consumer confidence and sentiment survey results amidst the strong post-pandemic recovery. Confidence peaked in June of last year but is still well above its 2020 recessionary low, as the abundance of job openings and ...

The difference between the Federal Funds rate and CPI is the largest ever. The Fed will have to hike well above the currently expected 2.8% terminal rate. Thus, the next recession is inevitable. For further details see: This Is The Biggest Fed Policy Error In History (An...

Commodities and equities are both showing renewed strength on the heels of global interest rate increases. Inflation shows no sign of abating as energy, metals, food products, and housing continue their upward bias. The SPY has enjoyed a sharp rally back up after touching its Fibonacc...

Job openings may be sky-high, at least in the estimated form, yet so too are quitters. In between, hiring just matches the intentional straight-line course plotted by the BLS from its CES figures. Each continues to point to different things, when the FOMC really should require the...

There’s a lot of talk about the Fed’s balance sheet, but I think what people forget is that the size of the balance sheets relative to gross domestic product is much higher in Japan and Europe. We seek to invest where the greatest opportunity resides, be it in EMs direct...

Global supply chain bottlenecks have made headlines the past couple of years amid the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions. China’s ageing demographics, which lead to a reduction in labor supply, are necessitating higher value-added manufacturing. A shortage of empty...

The national debt stands at $30.3 trillion, and the US government continues to run massive deficits. But does it really matter? Even if there is no danger of default, the debt has real economic consequences. It puts a big drag on the US economy. At some point, there is a tipping p...

Relief may be in sight for some parts of the supply chain. And we could see things normalize later this year. Recent data from the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach indicate some relief, as the vessel backlog has declined meaningfully. In addition, ships are unloading faster. Th...

The headline number of 107.2 was an increase of 1.5 from the final reading of 105.7 for February. Consumer confidence was up slightly in March after declines in February and January. Consumer confidence index and NFIB optimism index have tracked one another fairly closely since th...