DTUL News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L469 From 05/25/19

Hate spreads faster than love and fear sells, which helps explain why April's "nascent reflation" narrative is seemingly dead and buried. Thanks in no small part to trade concerns, this week saw the return of the late-March "growth scare" story, as told by bonds, whose "voice" is always pret...

The Treasury market's outlook has turned grim, based on the inverted yield curve of late. Another dimension of the cautious outlook is yesterday's sharp drop in the implied inflation outlook, based on yield spreads for nominal less inflation-indexed Treasury rates. Let's start with the yield...

Right now, the Federal Reserve seems to be doing very well. Because the Federal Reserve seems to be dong very well and seems to be controlling the situation, the value of the US dollar has strengthened this year and shows many signs of moving even higher. The value of the US dollar is an i...

Pushing interest rates below zero is both an act of desperation and something that in theory should have a huge, immediate impact of the behavior of borrowers and savers. The fact that negative rates have become the new normal in big parts of the world but haven't caused the expected behavior ...

Overview: The deterioration of the investment climate is spurring the sales of stocks and the buying of bonds. The dollar is firm. China and the US appear to be digging as if the trade tensions will remain for some time and the breach is beginning to look too big for Trump and Xi to pull ano...

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By Gary Alexander Old economic theories and partisan political critics say that President Trump's escalated tariffs will cause soaring inflation going into next year's elections, perhaps causing a recession and hurting his re-election chances. If so, raising tariffs on $300 billion in Chin...

Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on May 21, 2019. [This blog post is an excerpt from a recent TSI commentary] Keynesian economic theory is useless if the aim is to understand how the world of human production and consumption works, but it is useful when attempting ...

By Justin Murray Broadly speaking, banks operate under the concept of maturity transformation. Banks take short-term - less than one year - financing vehicles, such as customer deposits, and use that to finance long-term - more than one year - returns. These returns range from the most com...

On Wednesday I was doing my usual scan of the daily investment news. After reading this article from CNBC you could have knocked me over with a feather. Here is the key excerpt: Futures trading now indicates an 80% chance of a rate cut by January 2020, according to the CME’s FedWat...