EEH News and Press, Aktiebolaget Svensk Exportkredit Elements Linked to the SPECTRUM Large Cap U.S. Sector Momentum Index developed by BNP Paribas due Augu From 08/01/22

Throughout recorded economic history, there have been severe economic/market disruptions caused by known and unidentified imbalances not properly addressed in normal circumstances. The present imbalances I perceive as not being addressed can be characterized by the lack of sufficient ...

US gross domestic product fell 0.9% in the second quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports. The National Bureau of Economic Research has long explained that its process is more than waiting for two GDP prints to announce contraction. We can’t dismiss the possibility...

Rather than making money harder to get, the U.S. government needs to focus on the other side of the demand vs. supply equation. The Fed’s prescription is to suppress demand (borrowing and spending) by raising interest rates. In March 2022, the Federal Reserve tackled inflat...

Today’s GDP reading officially shows two quarters of negative GDP. A lot of this talk about recessions ignores the fact that housing is a big slow moving sector. The Fed appears to be pivoting towards a more dovish stance and that’s part of why stocks have been bounc...

While this is a technical recession, the Fed is correct to say we aren't in a "real" recession yet since unemployment is still falling and consumers are still spending. Consumers remain under real pressure as inflation puts the squeeze on spending power while the plunge in equity mark...

The headline number of 95.7 was a decrease of 2.7 from the final reading of 98.4 for June. "The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—fell to 141.3 from 147.2 last month." - Consumer Confidence Surve...

In all fairness to the Atlanta Fed, some of last week’s statistical releases indicate an economic slowdown, but at a very slow pace, nothing like the rapid contraction that accompanied serious contractions in 2008-9 or 2020. Russia’s Gazprom last week notified major cust...

As inflation raged, central banks accelerated the pace of monetary policy tightening, aiming to slow the growth of aggregate demand and calm price pressures. In response to persistently high inflation and an upward drift in long-run inflation expectations, central banks are accelerati...

Consumer spending, industrial output, credit quality, and other indicators don’t suggest economic risk. The reduction of the deficit will contribute to the building of recessionary pressures. The best signals of a recessionary onset occur when a bulk of the yield spreads tu...

The VIX-yield curve cycle is a powerful economic phenomena that has persisted since at least the end of the 1980s. Recessions happen following periods of tight monetary policy, characterized by flat yield curves and high levels of equity volatility. Fed tightening is beginning to ...