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Editor's note: This article was originally published on January 11, 2020, by Menzie Chinn here . Yesterday's employment release indicated a deceleration in nonfarm payroll ((NFP)) employment growth. Data from other sources suggests that the deceleration over the last year is more ma...

What happened last week, and what it may mean for the market in 2020. The Stock Market Report The S&P 500 was up by 0.94% last week. How does that compare to all other weeks since 1950? Here are the numbers. (I only include up weeks in this summary) Median weekly gain since 2010 ...

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist Erik Ristuben and Research Analyst Puneet Thiara discussed Iran-U.S. geopolitical tensions, headlines from recently released economic data and the U.S. employment report for December. Do markets care about geop...

PMI and ISM Services Indices Markit’s Services Index ((PMI)) continues to recover from what was one of the weakest readings in October (50.6) since this expansion began in 2009. The PMI increased to 52.8 in December, led by new order growth and a quicker pace of job creation. Orders...

A softer gain in hiring was expected for December, but Jan. 10's report from the US Labor Department was weaker than economists forecast. Companies added 139,000 workers last month - moderately lower vs. the 150,000 consensus point forecast via Econoday.com. That's still a respectable gain, ...

By Jill Mislinski Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their metho...

NEW YORK (January 10) - The December jobs report printed at a moderate 145,000 new jobs, below the consensus estimate of 164,000. Revisions for October (-4,000) and November (-10,000) netted 14,000 fewer jobs. Average jobs printed up in both the three-month and six-month average catego...

By Robert Hughes Sales of light vehicles totaled 16.7 million at an annual rate in December, down from a 17.1 million pace in November (see top chart). The pace of sales in December remains well within the 16-18 million unit range that we have seen for much of the past two decades. Unit ve...

By Jill Mislinski The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) has now released the December Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), also known as the ISM Services PMI. The headline Composite Index is at 55.0 percent, up 1.1 from 53.9 last month. The latest number came in above the...

Over the past week, mounting geopolitical tensions have kept markets on their toes. As of today, equity markets have recovered whatever losses there were, but sentiment has still taken a hit. The percentage of bullish investors in the weekly AAII survey has fallen for a third straight week d...