EWRE News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate From 10/20/22

Summary Construction starts of all types of privately owned housing units – single-family houses and units in multifamily buildings – fell by 8.1% in September from August, and by 7.7% year-over-year. These initial estimates tend to get revised sharply up or down, an...

Summary As I've argued in recent posts, there's plenty of evidence to suggest the Fed has already tightened by enough to bring inflation down. The dollar is super-strong, real yields have risen sharply, the yield curve is inverted, commodity prices are plunging, and the housing ma...

Summary On a y/y basis, both starts and permits saw declines of 7.7% and 3.2%, respectively. The real weakness, however, has been in single-family units where starts are down 18.5% and permits fell 17.3% even as multifamily units were both up by double-digit percentages y/y. I...

Summary The latest reading of 1.439M was below the Investing.com forecast of 1.475M and is an 8.1% decrease from the previous month's 1.566M. The Census Bureau's mid-month population estimates show substantial growth in the US population since 1959. The extreme volatility of t...

Summary Total housing starts fell to a 1.439 million annual rate in September from a 1.566 million pace in August, an 8.1 percent drop. Input costs and supply delivery problems are still concerns for builders though lumber prices have declined sharply from recent highs. Pressu...

Summary The US National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), designed to gauge market conditions, fell to 38 in October from 46 in September, now 50% lower than it was six months ago (below 50 is considered negative), and the largest year over ye...

Summary Real estate earnings season kicks off this week, and over the next month, we'll hear results from 175 equity REITs, 40 mortgage REITs, and dozens of housing industry companies. Slammed by the historic surge in interest rates over the past six months, REITs enter third-quar...

Summary Following a dizzying rally during the Covid recovery, global housing markets have cooled recently as affordability has declined. In Sweden, the combination of mostly floating mortgages, uncomfortably high inflation, and a central bank behind the curve but determined to cat...

Summary With the latest index value of 38, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index is now nearly where it had been in May 2020 during the lockdown and below where it had been in February 2007, on the way down into Housing Bust 1. Traffic is a sign of interest among potential hom...

Summary With mortgage rates running higher unabated and mortgage demand decimated, homebuilder sentiment has continued to tank. As for the technical picture of homebuilder stocks, recent declines have been a bit healthier than the broader market. While homebuilder stocks have ...