EWRE News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate From 01/10/23

Summary The U.S. new home market enters 2023 in distress. Political Calculations' initial estimate of the market capitalization of new homes for November 2022, the data for which was released just before the holidays, is $25.35 billion. This time-shifted, trailing-year average is 15...

Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...

Summary Whether viewed by home sales (demand) or housing starts (supply), the US housing market downshifted significantly during 2022. Low mortgage rates, combined with a spurt in economic growth and the ability of many workers to do their jobs remotely, pushed housing demand up sharply...

Summary We expect COVID-19 to continue its transition to a global endemic and the status quo to prevail in Russia's war in Ukraine, with no material implications for the global economy. Mild recessions are forecast in the United States and Europe, but resilience in Asia Pacific will pre...

Summary Inflation and corresponding central banking policies will be the two most important signals for investors to focus on. Three scenarios for the global economy: Rolling recessions, hard landing, or immaculate disinflation. As we enter 2023, commercial real estate will experien...

Summary Global central banks have raised interest rates to grapple with reemergent inflation, causing bond and equity valuations to decline in synchrony. An investor can gain exposure to real estate through publicly traded REIT products or via open-end or closed-end private equity funds...

Summary I expect traditional fossil fuel energy companies to continue to excel, rising to up to 30% of the S&P 500 in the upcoming years as technology stocks continue to shrink. After the most aggressive series of rate hikes in decades, inflation is finally moderating. Whether or no...

Summary Today’s high prices may well lead to tomorrow’s low prices, and tomorrow may arrive sooner than many feared. Asynchronous reopening is set to bedevil the global economy for at least another year. Broad housing market activity during much of 2022 suggests that w...

Summary Rising mortgage interest rates clobbered the single-family housing market in 2022. Rates have come down a little since October but remain twice as high as the cheapest rates available a couple of years ago. Workarounds for high mortgage rates will facilitate some transaction...

Summary According to the National Association of Realtors, "Pending home sales slid for the sixth consecutive month in November." The MoM came in at -4.0%, up from a 4.7% decrease last month. Over this time frame, the US population has grown by 17.5%. By Jill Mislinski ...