EWRE News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate From 02/08/23

Summary Markets posted strong gains in January, but will it last? Impact of China's reopening on global markets. Is this the year for a rebound in fixed income? Global markets have had a positive start to the year. But the year ahead likely won’t be withou...

Summary Going by most observers, there have been two major housing bubbles in the 21st Century. The inflation phase for the first housing bubble had its origins in August 2000 and peaked in March 2007. This more recent bubble has had several phases, but using the measure of median n...

Summary Data revisions affecting median new home sale prices and median household income confirm October 2022 as the all-time record low for the affordability of new homes in the U.S. Mortgage payment on the median new home sold in the U.S. during December 2022 would consume 41.6% of th...

Summary After a year best forgotten, 2023 has started out with a bang. January was a strong month that gave equity investors a timely relief rally. While this was a welcomed development, I am concerned that equity prices are getting too disconnected from reality. We have a challenging m...

Summary A deep dive into the gritty data and formulas of the vacancy rates by the Census Bureau. The Census Bureau estimated that in Q4 2022, the rental vacancy rate dipped to 5.8% and that the homeowner housing vacancy rate dipped to 0.8%, matching the record low earlier in 2022. T...

Summary The housing/construction sector is dragging strongly on economic growth. Right now, only the single-family market is dragging on growth. The downturn in multi-family and residential remodeling construction is still on the way. Leading indicators of housing/construction have ...

Summary The composite and national indices all fell month-over-month (m/m) for the fifth month in a row, but the year-over-year (y/y) change in prices is still running at +6% or more. Looking at different parts of the country, cities in the West fell the most m/m with declines of more t...

Summary The key feature of bubble symmetry is the entire bubble retraces in roughly the same time frame as it took to soar to absurd heights. At the peak and for some time after, bubbles are viewed as the natural order of markets and so they should continue expanding forever. But th...

Summary Has the heyday for office real estate passed? How a recession may impact commercial real estate. Why Asia is an outlier when it comes to returning to the office. Pandemic restrictions have mostly been lifted, but the rush to return to the office may not h...

Summary The surge in mortgage rates has resulted in a steep drop in home buyer demand while supply of homes for sales is on a gradual rise. As a result, home prices are now falling in every major city. With house price-to-incomes ratios remaining stretched by historical standards, f...