FENY News and Press, Fidelity MSCI Energy Index From 11/08/22

Summary After rallying 9% off the October 12 bottom, the market pulled back last week but still sits 5.4% above the low point. Commodities are trouncing all other major asset classes on a YTD basis, largely due to the rise in oil, natural gas, and agricultural prices. The newe...

Summary BlackRock’s top investment leaders came together at the Outlook Forum. The upshot: the new regime is not about to change, and we need a new playbook. Stocks slid and yields rose as the Federal Reserve delivered another mega rate rise and signaled it would need to ta...

Summary A coalition of 190 countries and companies had agreed to "phase down" coal power and end support for new plants. The African location is expected to put greater focus on the question of climate financing for historically marginalized communities and emerging markets. C...

Summary It is no surprise that with a retreat of 10-year Treasury yields off the highs of 4.33%, the stock market had a big rebound last week. When it is up to the bond market to decide what happens to stocks, then it is up to Jerome Powell, who will be delivering his FOMC press c...

Summary Virtually all of the Q3 2022 GDP growth was attributable to a lower trade deficit that added 2.77% to GDP growth. Most of that came from higher petroleum exports, due largely to one million barrels per day being released from the SPR. In two to three years, I expect energy...

Summary The root of Europe’s energy crisis is under-investment or outright dis-investment in nuclear energy and natural gas production/storage/transportation, combined with over-reliance on intermittent and relatively inefficient forms of renewable energy. Russia’s i...

Summary The iShares U.S. Energy ETF is benefiting from the macro environment - including Putin's horrific war-of-choice on Ukraine, which has effectively broken the global energy supply chain. IYE yields 3.7% and is up 59% YTD. The ETF is significantly overweight in Exxon (21....

Summary I have said for weeks that the Fed needs to slow the pace of its tightening campaign. Powell apparently decided last week that the market was taking things too far. Corporate earnings are being released for the quarter and, so far, they aren’t that bad. It w...

Summary PPI and CPI numbers came out last week, and both were higher than expected. Fed officials are concerned about the persistence of high inflation, and a 0.75% key interest rate hike at the November FOMC meeting is virtually certain. Worldwide demand for crude oil naturally r...

Summary Janet Yellen raised the specter of buying Treasuries this past week, without it being QE. The comments seemed to be born of some illiquidity issues within the Treasury market. 2022 is a midterm election year. It’s been grim YTD with the S&P 500 down -23.83% whil...