FIBR News and Press, iShares U.S. Fixed Income Balanced Risk Factor ETF From 05/09/19

IHS Markit is, of course, only one of the many people trying to predict the monetary policy cycle in the near future. Their forecast is that the Federal Reserve will have just the one interest rate rise late this year and then that will be it for the cycle. Inflation is expected to rise to t...

Breakeven inflation rates have ticked up in recent months. But is this a temporary phenomenon, or the beginning of a more persistent trend? While PIMCO expects inflation pressures to remain relatively subdued, we see a few reasons why the current monetary and fiscal policy rhetoric are likel...

On Tuesday I wrote about the flow of risk-averse monies into safe-haven investments as a result of the growing concern about the trade wars between the United States and China and the possibility that President Trump might impose further tariffs this Friday. I thought that it was important...

Many blog readers have asked for my opinions of "Modern Monetary Theory." I haven't written yet because I try to read about things in some detail, ideally from original sources, before reviewing them, which I have not done. Life is short. From the summaries I have read, some of the central p...

David Andolfatto is a vice president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and is published widely in the field of monetary economics. He also blogs at MacroMania, and has recently published on issues such as the zero lower bound, the symmetry of the Fed's inflation target, a new standing...

By Alberto J. Boquin, CFA The Federal Reserve (Fed) has an inflation problem. The central bank is not generating enough of it. As a result, market and consumer inflation expectations are plumbing new lows. The 5-year forward inflation breakeven derived from Treasury and the Treasury Inflat...

The disruption this week is connected with the US-China trade talks that is scaring financial markets throughout the world. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note dropped to 2.45 percent as money poured into the bond market, down from the 2.50 percent close yesterday. This rush to ris...

A few months ago, I wrote part III to this series outlining why interest rates would continue to remain low and most likely continue to fall on the long-end of the curve, confounding consensus opinion as to why interest rates should rise. The consensus opinion on long-term interest rates, ...

Public statements by Federal Reserve officials in recent days remain unified in forecasting that the recent deceleration in a key measure of core inflation is "transitory." The first reality check on that outlook via hard data is scheduled for this Friday's April report for the Consumer Price ...

The last year has been an uncertain one for bond markets. Four rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve in 2018 and the promise of more to come in 2019 sent the markets into a swoon. If further tightening was on any central bank's agenda, an inverted yield curve, the first since 2007, quickly move...