FIEE News and Press, UBS AG FI Enhanced Europe 50 ETN due February 12 2026 From 12/13/22

Summary Are we seeing the beginning of a reversal in the decline in stocks, and rise in yields, which have haunted investors this year? If the rebound in equities continues into Q1, it’s possible that leading indicators will flip, offering more convincing support for the idea of ...

Summary Half of the G10 central banks meet in the week ahead. It is no longer about when US inflation will peak, but how fast it will come down. The core rate is of critical interest. Half of the G10 central banks meet in the week ahead. The Fed is first on December 14...

Summary Amid the crosscurrents, two themes have prevailed during the post-pandemic years, which lend some perspective to the macroeconomic roadmap ahead: namely, the bipolar swings in macro policy and the forces of economic normalization. After one of the worst years for fixed income as...

Summary The ECB didn’t use the flexibility offered by the PEPP’s redemption to lean against wide sovereign spreads in the months of October and November. Appetite for high-beta fixed income has allowed the ECB to reduce its overweight in peripheral bonds. There is no s...

Summary Expectations surrounding central bank policy, China’s gradual reopening and a lower US dollar are key to investor sentiment in the final stretch of 2022. Central banks have increased interest rates at the fastest rate on record, and there are signs that higher yields are ...

Summary Olga and Hugo review their predictions and explore what surprised them in 2022, focusing on GDP, interest rates, earnings growth, energy prices, and the dollar. Our forecast for nominal GDP incorporates expectations for both growth and inflation. We were on the right track by an...

Summary After a difficult 2022, cautious optimism may be in order. Here are our thoughts on market risks and opportunities heading into 2023. Through 2022, the market repriced for bad news — the Russian invasion of Ukraine, supply chain woes, stickier headline inflation and...

Summary There are two meetings going on today - the G20 major economies meeting on the Indonesian island of Bali today and tomorrow (November 15 and 16), and the COP27, which focuses on climate change, running November 7-18 in Egypt. Crude oil prices initially rose early last week...

Summary The average spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rate has averaged 1.7% since 1990 and now stands at 2.9%. Small and mid-cap stocks continue to look better technically than US large cap. The Russell 2000, S&P 600 and S&P 400 (midcap) index E...

Summary Policymakers have often said that exchange rates should reflect fundamentals. We are still struck by the latest Bank for International Settlements figures. Their survey found that the average daily turnover in the foreign exchange market was $7.5 trillion a day. While ...