FIEE News and Press, UBS AG FI Enhanced Europe 50 ETN due February 12 2026 From 06/24/22

Growth is slowing, but it’s slowing to trend at this point. So not to zero, not to negative, but something like the trend that we’ve experienced over the last couple of decades. So, if you’re looking for a great way to play inflation, look to the small cap asset c...

NGDP is up 12.4% over the past 9 quarters, an annual rate of 5.3%. That’s too high. I usually focus on NGDP out of sheer laziness, and also because it is normally quite similar to NGDI. The past few years have been quite unusual, however, with a surprisingly large divergenc...

Russia's war with Ukraine and recent lockdowns in mainland China have further disrupted supply chains, adding to cost pressures. The US Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 75 basis points at its mid-June meeting and signaled its determination to return inflation to 2%, acknowled...

Eurozone consumption is still experiencing a temporary bump from catch-up spending on services, although today’s PMI figures are already starting to cast doubt on that view. This summer might still see some relief but after that, a consumption slump seems in the making. Mob...

Have market rates peaked? We are getting close, but are not seeing a conclusive message that the top is in just yet. Inconsistent curve dynamics and the sharpest sell-off in two decades mean the bond market isn’t the obvious place to look for signs of recession. Were this t...

The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index's preliminary estimate for June plunged to a record low. The good news from all this bad news is that “contrarian theory” says that when sentiment reaches such historic lows, the only way it can go is up. T...

We see the Fed on a path to raise rates far enough this year to hurt growth. The U.S. activity restart from the pandemic could grind to a halt in coming quarters. The Fed lifted rates by 0.75% in a rush to normalize policy, its biggest hike since 1994. Other central banks joined, send...

The concerns rest on the fact that global manufacturing growth has weakened amid ongoing supply constraints and soaring prices, leaving growth reliant on the service sector. May saw the S&P Global US Composite PMI fall from 56.0 to a four-month low of 53.6. Although economic g...

Aside from the Bank of Japan, major central banks are in a hurry to tighten financial conditions even as a cyclical slowdown weakens demand. The Bank of England hiked its base rate by 25 bp, but increased its inflation projection and warned of more forceful action if necessary. Th...

For once, it isn’t the Fed’s stance that is keeping bond investors up at night. The Fed and financial markets now seem more aligned both on the path for rates and on economic prospects. This doesn’t mean rate upside has reduced however. For one thing, the Fed ...