FLAT News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ILN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L485 From 07/15/19

The market is now at record highs, and unemployment is way down. Even so, a U.S. rate cut is expected as early as this week. During his congressional testimony last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell raised concerns over slower global growth and trade tensions, which in turn have con...

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Quite a week! Powell all but assured a rate cut in July; the yield curve steepened; the dollar weakened; trade talks with China opened; commodity prices increased; and stock markets rose. Doesn't it sound like our playbook the last few weeks? What more can the pundits say who have been so ne...

By Catherine Wood, ARK Invest CEO Now that yield curves are inverting, investors seem to be bracing for bad news. In the last 100 years, inverted yield curves have foreshadowed recessions within roughly a year, as indicated by the below data points. Based on the 50 Years Ended 1929, We B...

On Wednesday, Jerome Powell testified before Congress that the U.S. economy is "suffering" from a bout of uncertainty caused by trade tensions and slow global growth. To wit: "Since [the Fed meeting in mid-June], based on incoming data and other developments, it appears that uncertainties a...

At present in the bond ( TLT ) and gold ( UGLD ) markets is an artificial rally brought on by a lack of treasuries going on. The lack of treasuries, which are the key tier 1 asset, for banks collateralizing loans and passing Fed stress tests, is causing their value to rise. Gold is getting a f...

It used to be that the central banks were part of the markets, all of the markets. It used to be the consensus viewpoint that they had a large influence on the short end of the Yield Curve but not on the long end of the Yield Curve. It used to be, as exemplified by the "Bond Vigilantes," that ...

The Fed's semiannual Monetary Report was released Friday and really offered all the ammunition the Fed needs to begin lowering rates this month. The Fed is concerned that uncertainty over trade has constrained business spending and caused a slowdown in manufacturing. The Fed cautioned that gro...

Rates have continued to dip. Forward markets have already moved much of the way back toward zero. This has been somewhat surprising to me. I expected the Fed to maintain the fed funds rate at a plateau level, as they did in the last two cyclical reversals. But they are almost certain to start ...

With the trade war in full swing and the USA attacking many of its trading partners over perceived unfairness in trade relationships, what would happen if Brazil dumped its considerable holding of Treasuries into the secondary market or chose not to buy any more Treasuries and let the remainde...