FLAX News and Press, Franklin FTSE Asia ex Japan From 01/10/23

Summary Looking around the globe, we find a few major stock markets with bullish setups. Most are leaning bearish to perhaps strongly bearish. The S&P 500 is currently 30 on a list of 36 country indexes, with Turkey, Poland, Italy, Denmark, and China taking the top slots. Longer...

Summary We expect COVID-19 to continue its transition to a global endemic and the status quo to prevail in Russia's war in Ukraine, with no material implications for the global economy. Mild recessions are forecast in the United States and Europe, but resilience in Asia Pacific will pre...

Summary Global equities closed out their worst year since the 2008 financial crisis as central banks launched increasingly aggressive efforts to bring rampant inflation under control. Much of the US’s underperformance versus its peers is an outgrowth of its much larger exposure t...

Summary The upsides to falling demand and spare capacity were fewer supply constraints and a further marked moderation of price pressures. While Japan's factory output downturn likewise moderated slightly, it remained among the sharpest witnessed over the past decade. Future output ...

Summary There were ample causes for this global downdraft in equity markets. Global equity markets look likely to face a global recession in 2023, which appears to have already begun in the final quarter of 2022. Equity markets will face a tough global environment in 2023, particula...

Summary Return divergences were largely an outgrowth of the collapse in resource stocks. Amid the extreme risk-on/risk-off swings in sentiment spurred by the pandemic and Russia/Ukraine war, industry performances have been as polarized as they've ever been in a decade. The turbulent...

Summary The global manufacturing PMI survey's Output Index signalled a third successive monthly drop in worldwide factory production in October. Of the 31 economies for which S&P Global PMI data are available for October, some 21 reported falling production, which was also the...

Summary After a bumpy year, 2023 could prove to be even more challenging for global goods trade with consumer demand faltering, oversupply returning, and the energy and subsequent inflation crisis persisting. So far this year, global merchandise trade has held up extremely well gi...

Summary Few sectors escaped this year’s global equity selloff in Q3. Those most vulnerable to the punishing effects of the recent spike in interest rates have paid an especially heavy toll. Real estate, telecom, utilities and tech were the worst performers in most marke...

Summary Global equity markets outside of the United States have completed a third negative quarter, with the MSCI ACWI ex US IMI Index down 11.26% in the three months through October 30. For the year to date, this index is down 27.19%, which clearly indicates a “bear market...