FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 07/21/21

Since last November’s vaccine news, financial markets have been "hanging ten" on a swell of cyclical, value and small-cap stocks, and rising Treasury yields. Crosswinds started to grow in the second quarter, however, as economic and inflation data ran hot: rising yields stalled...

Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...

Rate markets seem to have fallen through a rabbit hole into a fantasy world where every new bit of information points to lower growth. That the rally in rates, and associated curve flattening, is occurring at a time the phase of economic acceleration comes to an end can create a misle...

Risk appetite is deteriorating fast, thus providing a rationale for a further drop in interest rates. A further deterioration would call central bank tightening into question and validate flatter curves. What is new is that other markets are giving signs of coming around to this v...

We view China's monetary policy loosening as unlikely to derail a focus on quality growth in the medium term, supporting our views on Chinese assets. U.S. consumer price index (CPI) rose more than expected in June amid the restart dynamics. China’s economy grew slightly slower ...

Strategas Managing Director and Head of Fixed Income Research Tom Tzitzouris breaks down the recent action in the bond market. He hits on the hotter-than-expected inflation data, the Fed’s actions, and his outlook for interest rates. He also discusses another headwind appro...

Consumer prices increased 5.4% in June from a year earlier, as measured by CPI, which was the biggest monthly gain since August 2008. PPI jumped 7.3% on a year-over-year basis, which was a new record. One would normally expect the yields on bonds to rise in tandem, if not exceed these...

A series of new all-time index highs but no popping of corks. A flight to safety goes on under the surface - a 1.25% yield on the 10-year Treasury July 7, coupled with a "risk-off" 7% drop in the Russell 2K since July 1. Are we headed for an economic slowdown or recession? This qu...

While the economic growth rate is slowing, that is not a contraction or a recession. If that was the case, you’d see junk bonds selling off too, and that just isn’t the case - at least not yet. Our investment process puts a lot of emphasis on rates of change, whether mac...

The world economy has performed about as well as could be expected, if one takes as given the pandemic and the inadequate public health response. Global growth in 2020 was negative 3.3 per cent, which is very low historically. But the economic outlook is stronger now than one would ha...