FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 03/14/22

Corporate high-yield is outperforming the corporate high-grade index. One unusual aspect to the 2022 stock market selloff is that the Treasury trade hasn't happened. The psychological impact of crude oil and gasoline prices may be a bigger factor in the stock market sentiment data...

At the height of the pandemic, the Fed pumped trillions of dollars into the financial system through asset purchases to support markets and the broader economy. The Fed has several options for unwinding its portfolio. While we think investors will hear a lot about the Fed balance ...

Over the last two centuries, at least 23 ships are recorded as having been sunk by icebergs, while many more have sustained damage. Over the years, while ships have grown larger, so have icebergs. The largest iceberg in the world, at about 80 times the size of Manhattan, broke off the...

I don't pretend to know how the Russia/Ukraine war will play out, but I can shed some light on how it has impacted the U.S. and Eurozone economies. Limiting Russia's ability to use the SWIFT payment system is a big factor reducing liquidity overseas. Whenever the market gets very ...

Russian debt, both hard currency and local currency, is largely shut down for trading. Prices for Russian government securities are pricing in a default scenario. The markets have dramatically repriced central bank expectations. For further details see: Russia Sanctions ...

The Fed is confronted with the highest inflation setting in 40 years. Yield curve is rarely this flat heading into a prolonged rate hike cycle. With the yield curve being as narrow as it is currently, the question revolves around how fast it could actually become inverted. F...

At the moment, some variables are beginning to align that might be a sign of a recession on the horizon. Up until the Russian invasion into Ukraine, the market was nearly unanimous in thinking the Federal Reserve would increase the Fed Funds Rate by at least .25%, if not .50%. The...

Russia-Ukraine crisis: What's Putin's next move? A full regime change in Ukraine may be tougher than Putin thinks. Bond market surprise: Why didn't long bonds react to Russian attack? For further details see: Russia-Ukraine Crisis: What's Putin's Next Move?

Bond market sentiment is reaching extreme levels. Treasury volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, spiked to very high readings. We see intermediate-term fixed-income rates near fair value for now. For further details see: Rise In Bond Yields Looks Like An Exhausted M...

In 2022, we have extreme uncertainty around the fundamental economic environment, the policy response, inflation and the response of policymakers. Although we are cautiously optimistic on the inflationary trajectory, when you look at the relatively low rate environment still, you ...