FTSD News and Press, Franklin Liberty Short Duration U.S. Government From 06/26/23

2023-06-26 11:05:00 ET Summary We see the outlook brightening for Japanese stocks vs. developed peers given fewer supply constraints, supportive monetary policy and corporate reforms. Developed market short-term bond yields rose last week after the Bank of England hiked rates agai...

2023-06-26 08:00:00 ET Summary Inflation remains stubbornly high, rate hikes are not over and the long, 40-year downtrend in interest rates is over. The Fed’s rate hikes have impacted housing more than any other sector of the economy, in expected ways and in some unexpected...

2023-06-24 23:55:00 ET Summary We think the macro factor that still matters most, at least for now, is inflation, notwithstanding how important these other elements may turn out to be. Emerging markets have performed well year to date despite continued rate hikes from the Fed, reg...

2023-06-22 10:45:00 ET Summary Fed funds futures continue to lean toward a one-and-done scenario, based on the highest estimated probability estimates for the next three Fed meetings. A simple model using unemployment and consumer prices to profile Fed policy suggests that a moder...

2023-06-21 03:20:00 ET Summary Both major US monthly inflation reports out last week reflected even lower rates than most pundits had expected. Following the two inflation reports and other indicators, the Fed decided to pause hiking key interest rates further, but the “dot...

2023-06-20 23:30:00 ET Summary Breakeven Inflation represents the market’s expectation of the average annual inflation rate over a specific period. Market participants and policy makers closely monitor breakeven inflation rates as they provide insights regarding future infl...

2023-06-20 22:45:00 ET Summary As inflation begins to moderate, Olga and Hugo examine the structural forces shaping the medium-term outlook in four categories: energy, housing, goods, and services. They uncover dynamics that challenge conventional wisdom about post-COVID shifts in...

2023-06-20 14:19:00 ET Summary The latest rebound in equity prices has pulled the S&P 500 and Canada’s TSX back to levels seen two years ago in June/July 2021. In the real economy, Canada’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for May contracted 6.3% year-over-year and the...

2023-06-20 09:30:00 ET Summary The data has been coming in strong enough that the Fed could have delivered a rate hike in Wednesday’s meeting, but they chose not to. In the last couple of weeks, jobless claims have not just been higher than expected claims, but we're seeing...

2023-06-17 07:30:00 ET Summary The volume of lending and money that goes out to support real economic activity has decelerated slightly, but is still above pre-COVID trends. However, the price of that credit has gone up. If the Fed's dual policy persists - keeping rates where they...