GBGR News and Press, Global Beta Momentum-Growth From 07/13/22

The core rate of inflation has fallen for three months in a row. Energy and food prices have declined sharply over the past month. I believe expectations for rate hikes will diminish as we move through the remainder of this year. That should set the stage for meaningful gains ...

Persistently elevated rates of price increases and an intensifying Fed tightening cycle are impacting economic activity. The outlook is for continued economic growth, but risks remain elevated. The combination of record-high home prices and sharply higher mortgage rates have sent ...

It's time to de-risk following the latest stock market bounce. Reduce stock allocations on the margins over time. Stick to your broader asset allocation discipline. What to sell and what to hold. Time to de-risk . I posted an article on Seeking Alpha on June 24 entit...

The Federal Reserve has hardly covered itself in glory by having failed to anticipate recent major turning points in the US economy. The Fed again appears poised to miss yet another major economic turning point. By failing to heed the clear warning signs that we are headed for a r...

The only US release on the economic calendar on Tuesday was the NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index, and it was a big dud. The NFIB also provides some detail as to why businesses are reporting such a soured outlook regarding expansion. Another interesting point to not...

The June Index level was reported at 89.5 and the NFIB report notes this represents "the sixth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98." A net negative 61% of small business owners, a seven-point decline from last month, are expecting better business conditions over the next...

The latest issue of the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends came out this morning. The headline number for June came in at 89.5, down 3.6 from the previous month. The index is at the 7th percentile in this series. A decline in Small Business Sentiment was a long leading indicator ...

The S&P 500 remains above the 3,810 May 20th low print and the June 17th low print of 3,636.87. Crude oil has not made a new high since March ’22, copper has fallen sharply as have many of the grain and other commodity prices. The sentiment is horrible around both stock...

Fund-flows and fear are constants. Changes to primary bull trends require loss of both of these constants. We show that both are still in place, which means so is the primary bull trend. There are only two constants in the stock market: funds and fear. Every other factor...

The core rate of U.S. inflation on both the consumer and wholesale level has been steadily declining since March. In light of the Supreme Court’s recent decision to curb the EPA’s power, the SEC’s new climate disclosures are expected to be aggressively challenged ...