GSG News and Press, iShares GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust Fund From 02/08/23

Summary Over the past year, banks have reported tighter lending standards on commercial loans to small, large, and middle-market firms. Large corporate bankruptcies have spiked the most since the 2008 financial crisis. Stock valuations typically tumble during recessions as the unemp...

Summary In 2023, both the demand and supply sides point to upward pressure across much of the set of commodity prices. The limits of lack of supply are visible in almost all segments, with stocks at operating levels in a critical situation and/or production capacity used to the limit. ...

Summary Three of the major investment themes of 2022 were: inflation and central bank responses; commodity and energy price spikes; and the China COVID lockdown. We discuss how each of these will likely play out in 2023. Our general market view for the year ahead is relatively sanguine,...

Summary January almost did a complete reversal from January 2022, with U.S. Real Estate taking the lead, leaving Commodities nearly in the dust. It’s important to note that most assets are not in the red yet, and as we prepare for a very uncertain year in the market, 2023 has sta...

Summary The long-run performance outlook for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked higher in January, reaching a 6% annualized forecast, based on the average estimate for three models. The underlying components of GMI continue to post relatively strong forecasts — defined as forec...

Summary Global markets roared back to life in January, led by US real estate shares. The only slice of the major asset classes that lost ground last month: commodities, based on a set of proxy ETFs. The Global Market Index (GMI) posted a solid rebound in January. This unmanaged benchmar...

Summary Everyone wants to buy bonds right now because everyone knows the US is headed for recession. But neither the 10-year, the 2-year or shorter-term yields are currently falling at a pace that we would expect just prior to recession. If we go into recession you’ll make mo...

Summary December was a mixed month for commodity index strategies overall. Natural gas was the strongest commodity for most index strategies. The precious metals sector was the strongest performing sector in December, rising over 5%. Natural Gas Contributes From Rebalance ...

Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...

Summary In this post, we provide our key assumptions and outlook for 2023. We are relatively more optimistic than most, as we believe that we are already in the mid-late innings of this downturn. We believe that stabilizing interest rates will provide a base for valuations and expec...