HYMB News and Press, SPDR Nuveen S&P High Yield Municipal Bond From 08/25/22

Summary M2 has essentially flat-lined since last January, which was well before the Fed began to take tightening action. This means that the behavior of M2 is obviating the need for the Fed to pursue a typical tightening, which almost always ends with a recession. The issue of...

Last quarter, we discussed the ongoing trends of sticky inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve. These trends accelerated in Q2 as the U.S. Consumer Price Index rose again to 9.1% in June. Equity volatility remains elevated, but strategies such as covered calls can offer compelling op...

Strong data or not, the Fed will likely stay the course on rates. Why inflation is still the Fed's biggest concern, even as it eases. Why the robust jobs market didn't get the recession memo. Stronger U.S. economic data is leading to speculation the U.S. Federal ...

The yield curve is inverted from the 6-month T-bill to the 10-year Treasury note, which would suggest that the bond market’s message is “recession ahead, batten down the hatches”. Relatively tight risk spreads suggest that nobody is thinking too seriously about th...

We review CEF market valuation and performance through the second week of August and highlight recent market action. CEFs had another strong week as the recovery in income assets accelerated. We discuss the yield pick-up in CEFs versus open-end funds using HY Munis as a case study...

For the seventh straight month, mutual fund investors were net redeemers of fund assets, withdrawing $34.2 billion from conventional funds for July. Fixed income funds (-$37.6 billion for July) witnessed net outflows for the eighth month in a row, while money market funds (+$23.5 bill...

We expect inflation to moderate to a lower level than where it is now by the end of the year, but still be uncomfortably above the Federal Reserve target. I believe there’s a good case to be made for investors getting into the market now; we just need to debate how and where. ...

Almost every month this year, the “discounts” on financial assets from their year-end 2021 prices have gotten larger, leaving the S&P 500 with its worst first half-of-the-year return since 1962 (narrowly avoiding its worst first half since the Great Depression). Ther...

July was the highest revenue generating month of 2022. The US hard to borrow equity market pushes revenues higher. Fixed income continues to see strong demand. Corporate bonds are in for an impressive 2022. Global securities finance revenues totalled $1.215 bln, ...

It appears the U.S. economy may be falling into recession - the business cycle has not been eliminated. Valuations outside the U.S. continue to look relatively attractive versus the U.S., especially in Japan. Credit spreads rallied over the past month or so and are once again in l...