IBTK News and Press, iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF From 07/11/21

Over time, the long-term relationship between the yield on the 10-year Treasury note and inflation, represented by the core Consumer Price Index, tends to be relatively stable. At various junctures, this relationship may not hold; for example, when market shocks drive up demand for sa...

Strategas President Nicholas Bohnsack breaks down the recent move in Treasury rates before getting into a few 2H21 and 2022 outlook items. While he remains bullish on equities, he says he wouldn’t be surprised to see some volatility on the horizon. The organic growth driver...

EUR rates shrugged the new ECB policy goal, perhaps because it was well-telegraphed and, arguably, already acted upon in recent years. Marginally lower real rates may ensue. The global flattening might run into some profit-taking today, and faces long-end US supply next week. But ...

The pandemic disrupted a well-tuned but perhaps overly optimized global economy and time-shifted the production and consumption of various goods. Fed officials have told us repeatedly they are not worried about inflation; they believe it is transitory. We are a bit less dismissive of ...

LPETTET/iStock via Getty Images A prolonged drop in U.S. Treasury yields is catching bond and fixed income traders by surprise, as well as other investors in the broader financial markets. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped below 1.3% on Wednesday, and fell another 6 bps overnight t...

What makes the current scenario most interesting is the fall in the US Ten-Year note yield (TNX), which looks headed for a test of the 1.4% area. Certainly, the fall in bond yields points to expectations of a weakening economy, as well as the possibility that the Fed won’t open...

The fall in market rates has little to do with the Fed, at least not directly. Rates were falling long before the Fed had its hawkish wake-up moment. Real rates have remained stubbornly negative too, which made little sense against a vibrant macro story. The 10yr real yield is now bac...

It would appear that the U.S. Treasury market is supported by Japanese and eurozone money, as there is simply no yield available in either German bunds or Japanese Government Bonds, which makes the 120 bp positive Treasury 2-10 spread a mouth-watering opportunity to a European or Japanese...

During much of last quarter, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model indicated an annual rate over 10% for the second quarter, but last Friday, they downgraded their estimate to the lowest number we’ve seen since the quarter began - an annual pace of just 7.8%, down from +8.6% on Jul...

Was the Fed message a shift in reaction function or economic outlook? Heightened rate sensitivity from incoming jobs and economic data. Strap in for a bumpy market this summer. For further details see: Will Interest Rates Rise As Jobs Recover This Summer?