IIGV News and Press, Invesco Investment Grade Value From 09/14/22

Summary Why an economic soft landing for the U.S. economy is becoming less likely. How softer commodity prices could become an economic bright light. Do job losses have to happen to get inflation under control? Of all the U.S. economic reports released monthly, the j...

Summary The main economic data release for the trading week is the US inflation report. The UK economy is in a precarious position and facing a recession. Chinese President Xi is expected to meet with Russian President Putin at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in U...

Summary A global multi-sector approach can deliver much more than just international diversification. If investors are willing to expand their horizons, in our view, they stand a much better chance of meeting their investment goals. No single fixed-income sector can dominate year ...

Summary Despite a rough first half of 2022, bonds still have an important role to play in your portfolio, offering potential income, diversification, and capital preservation. After adjusting to the Fed’s rate hikes, short-term corporate bonds may now offer potentially high...

Summary Policymakers are recognizing a new macro regime but are ignoring the trade-off between inflation and growth. A resulting recession is bad news for risk assets. Stocks fell last week after hawkish comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell and data showing another month of jobs ga...

Summary The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) will direct $739 billion toward various clean energy and healthcare initiatives over the next decade. The corporate alternative minimum tax requires companies of a minimum size to pay a cash tax rate of at least 15%. We expect the IRA ...

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to 0.27 in July, with all four categories of indicators rising. The 3-month average was unchanged at -0.09. That indicates growth is slightly below trend and is far from the recession threshold of -0.7. The data in August so far has bee...

Interest rate volatility has been high, and rotations between value and growth in equities have been sharp. Over the past few decades, a recession was generally accompanied by a decline in earnings and a sell-off in equity markets, because a non-inflationary recession meant lower nomi...

The yield curve is inverted from the 6-month T-bill to the 10-year Treasury note, which would suggest that the bond market’s message is “recession ahead, batten down the hatches”. Relatively tight risk spreads suggest that nobody is thinking too seriously about th...

We see company earnings deteriorating amid a rotation in consumer spending and a sputtering restart. This is partly why we remain cautious on stocks. Stocks jumped on hopes of the Fed pausing hikes soon as inflation edges lower. We think that’s premature and see inflation settl...