IIGV News and Press, Invesco Investment Grade Value From 02/07/22

For investors who want to earn a reasonable return without taking excessive risks, diversification still works, and we think you’re going to need more of it this year. The weighing of the high-flyers is not over. Commodities had another good week, and the 1-year return is getti...

Markets had expected the BoE's bank rate hike, but they were caught a bit off guard by a surprising pivot by the ECB, widely seen as the most dovish of major central banks in wanting to hold off talk of any rate hikes until after 2022. ECB president Christine Lagarde noted that inflat...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...

Nominal GDP growth is likely to be solid this year, albeit not at 2021’s historic levels. The Fed's policy toolkit should consist of policy rate hikes as well as some reduction in its balance sheet. Equities will be hard-pressed to match last year’s gains. For ...

Last week, the world’s major central banks marched on from the fight with COVID-19 and started maneuvering their troops for the coming battle against inflation. A day after the U.S. Federal Reserve revealed its plans, and a few hours after the European Central Bank declared its...

The EMBI High Yield Index yields 330 bps above the U.S. High Yield Index, which is around two standard deviations relative to the last five years’ average. Apart from China and the frontier markets, there are opportunities in more “traditional” EM countries. I...

If yields are low and spreads are low, it’s logical to conclude that generic market beta returns are going to be low. But that does not mean that alpha expectations should be lowered as well. There’s potentially a lot of volatility coming our way and dispersion with winn...

As we look ahead to 2022, our base case is for positive global growth and elevated inflation in the near term. Though we see inflation moderating during the year, there are upside risks to our forecast. We believe growth assets, such as equities and credit, will tend to deliver positi...

Our equities markets seem to be gradually ebbing. While Treasuries have rallied, this has not been the case for our other credit markets. On the inflation front, we are now at a three-decade high, according to the Associated Press. With valuations at current levels, and with v...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...