IVOL News and Press, Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge From 09/22/20

Coming into COVID-19, a chunk of client bond money was in higher yielding money markets since credit spreads (in my opinion) offered little value prior to March 2020. After the 35% correction in the S&P 500, and upon the announcement of the Fed liquidity programs, all that money w...

Three new forces are set to lift inflation beyond what markets are currently expecting in the years ahead, reversing a decade of subdued price rises. Market volatility has returned after months of steady advances in risk assets, and could stay elevated as the U.S. election draws near....

On Friday, due to the "quad-witching options expiration" (when all options contracts for the current strike month expire and rollover), the market gave up support at the 50-dma. The markets are very oversold short term, so a tradeable "bounce" remains very likely in the next few days....

Powell is struggling to reinforce flagging Federal Reserve credibility. In the 1960s, Alan Greenspan was said to have commented the Great Depression was a consequence of the Fed having repeatedly placed "Coins in the Fuse Box". Is all the hullabaloo really about consumer inflation...

On Wednesday, the US Fed offered its next iteration of low policy rates for longer, and longer, and longer with a promise that it would not hike for (at least) another three years in its effort to manufacture price inflation above 2%. The truth is, as we've already seen in places like Japan ...

Economists were focused on three facets of the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)'s meeting on Wednesday. Importantly, none of these three outcomes were particularly consequential for investors. 1. New forward guidance Would the Fed clarify its forward guidance on interest rates following Powe...

The Federal Reserve (Fed) released its new policy framework, formally known as the Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, late last month in connection with Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech. After that, it is not surprising the September FOMC meeting failed to provide an...

By Edward D. Perks, CFA, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions, and Gene Podkaminer, CFA, Head of Multi-Asset Research Strategies, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions Ed Perks and Gene Podkaminer of Franklin Templeton's Multi-Asset Solutions team discuss ...

When a central bank announces a formal policy change to lift inflation, it's reasonable to expect that the government bond market would notice. But so far, there are few signs that US Treasuries are reacting to last month's rollout of the Fed's average inflation-targeting ((AIT)) policy, which...

Mr. Market, our old friend, who is never meant to be wrong, says it is inflation. It’s tough to agree with Mr. Market because most of us spend all our time trying to beat the market and prove it wrong. However, anyone who has been through a few rounds trying to outsmart the market will ...