IVW News and Press, iShares S&P 500 Growth From 02/20/24

2024-02-20 20:20:00 ET Summary The biggest economic news last week was that the Labor Department reported on Tuesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% in January and 3.1% in the past 12 months. Overall, the annual pace of the CPI continues to decelerate, but not at the...

2024-02-20 19:45:00 ET Summary International equities were generally lower yesterday, while US markets were shuttered in observance of President's Day. The US is continuing the negative tone today, with the S&P 500 down roughly 50 bps as of this writing. Assuming the decli...

2024-02-20 15:19:00 ET Summary Investing has numerous known unknowns and unknown unknowns, making it difficult to know anything for sure. The only things we know for sure in investing are the things we can directly observe. The movements of interest rate and the dollar are, at...

2024-02-20 13:50:00 ET Summary We think market optimism can persist for now but stay nimble. We get more active in our long-term portfolios given a greater dispersion of returns. U.S. stocks steadied after a brief dip on stronger-than-expected inflation data last week. We think th...

2024-02-20 10:48:00 ET Summary Every state’s economy is, in some degree, unique, although the gravitational pull of the national economy casts a long shadow. The most reliable methodology for estimating recession risk in real-time is building an ensemble model that combines...

2024-02-20 10:45:00 ET Summary After breaking through the 5,000 milestone to set a new record high last week, the S&P 500 retreated from that lofty level. The index dropped 0.4% from last week's close to the end of the trading week at 5,005.57. Looking forward, we're comin...

2024-02-20 10:17:00 ET Summary Don’t fear all-time highs in the market. Such is a natural response for investors who are concerned about market risk. Valuations, by their very nature, are horrible predictors of 12-month returns. As such, investors should avoid any investmen...

2024-02-20 07:00:00 ET Summary The resilience of the U.S. economy during 2023 owed much to low unemployment and excess savings built up through the pandemic. Excess savings may still be out there, but only among those on middle and higher incomes. Inflation in non-discretionar...

2024-02-19 10:35:23 ET Summary The inverted yield curve, historically a reliable indicator of recession, has not yet led to an economic contraction. Economist Campbell Harvey, who developed the yield-curve indicator, acknowledged its potential inaccuracy due to inflation-adjusted ...

2024-02-18 21:32:00 ET Summary It is that after trying to figure out whether the economy and markets would achieve a soft landing in the wake of the post-Covid tightening cycle, no one quite knows what to think now that the soft landing appears to have arrived. By and large, leadi...