IVW News and Press, iShares S&P 500 Growth From 03/18/24

2024-03-18 12:05:00 ET Summary Markets see a positive near-term macro and corporate backdrop for the U.S. and Japan. We eye risks ahead but remain overweight stocks in both countries. U.S. stocks were largely flat last week after hotter-than-expected inflation data. Both 10-year U...

2024-03-18 11:15:00 ET Summary Over the last two years, the evolution of the US economy has been driven by a return to “normal”. The change in cash levels at the household level were large and have proved more persistent than most expected. At the end of last yea...

2024-03-18 11:00:00 ET Summary The news certainly did not align with the market action. Unfortunately, too many investors believe news directs the markets. Market sentiment is the best indicator regarding how the market will react to news, as well as outlining the trend and tr...

2024-03-17 16:00:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 made a weekly lower high for only the second time since October 2023. Indecision and mixed signals are present in the weekly and daily charts. The trend channel held during Friday's drop but is at risk of breaking. The S...

2024-03-17 09:00:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 has surged 25% since October despite stagnant earnings, driven by Fed pivot hopes and investor interest in AI, weight loss drugs, and high P/E blue-chip stocks. AI has not caused corporate profits to increase significantly, with negat...

2024-03-17 08:30:00 ET Summary Positive developments like AI advancements, rare-earth mineral discoveries, and strong employment have extended the business cycle. Labor market weakening, declining wage growth, and weakening consumer spending power are still concerns for the econom...

2024-03-17 08:30:00 ET Summary Leading economic indicators suggest a potential recession in the US in the next 6-12 months. Coincident indicators are decelerating quickly. The Fed faces a difficult choice between cutting interest rates to prevent a recession or risking a resurgenc...

2024-03-17 08:15:05 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has been implementing quantitative tightening for two years. Since March 16, 2022, the Federal Reserve has reduced its portfolio of securities by approximately $1.5 trillion and raised its policy rate of interest eleven times. ...

2024-03-17 06:15:00 ET Summary Inflation data has led to a repricing of monetary policy for 2024, with doubts about the number of rate cuts projected by the Fed. Fed Fund Futures are now forecasting fewer than three rate cuts at the end of 2024, indicating a shift in market expect...

2024-03-16 08:55:00 ET Summary The week ahead is dominated by central bank meetings - most central banks are not expected to change policy. The market is also keen for some guidance on how the Fed is thinking about its balance sheet. We do not expect major changes from Decembe...