JHEM News and Press, John Hancock Multifactor Emerging Markets From 07/13/22

In several emerging markets, rates at the shorter end of the curve are trading at the highest levels in 20 years. Several emerging market central banks have tightened policy rates significantly earlier and substantially more than their developed market counterparts. While most eme...

In contrast to some other market observers expecting a contraction in EM earnings in 2023, at the start of this year we highlighted the likelihood of a recovery driven by India and China. Factories are reopening, port bottlenecks are easing, and there are signs that supply chain disru...

We have upgraded inflation forecasts - and downgraded growth - and now expect global GDP to expand at a rate well below potential in 2023. Regardless of whether the economic slowdown meets the technical definition of a recession, the next few quarters aren’t going to feel good....

The global economic outlook has deteriorated sharply; we now expect GDP growth to be well below potential in 2023. While the near-term economic outlook is challenging, not all downturns are catastrophic - unlike those during the pandemic and global financial crisis. The economic o...

Growth is slowing, but it’s slowing to trend at this point. So not to zero, not to negative, but something like the trend that we’ve experienced over the last couple of decades. So, if you’re looking for a great way to play inflation, look to the small cap asset c...

In a more fractured world, we believe governments and corporate decision-makers will increasingly focus on searching for safety and building resilience. Looking forward, rather than reaching for yield, we believe that investors will be reaching for resilience in their portfolio constr...

From Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to China’s COVID-19 crackdown, investors in emerging-market equities have faced many new challenges this year. Even after the recent rebound in relative returns, EM value stocks trade at a near-record discount to growth stocks. From ...

Dispersion in monetary policy cycles may give inves­tors the opportunity to add exposure to countries where an easing mon­etary policy should support growth and valuations. Focusing on companies in sectors the government wants to be internationally competi­tive can unco...

The foreign currency value of the dollar has been rising. The nominal broad dollar index of the Federal Reserve shows the dollar has increased by about 9% since its low point a year ago while other indexes register larger gains. The dollar’s appreciation will also have an impac...

Central banks are facing a growth-inflation trade-off. Hiking interest rates too much risks triggering a recession, while not tightening enough risks causing runaway inflation. The Fed has made it clear it is ready to dampen growth. Implication: We are neutral developed market (DM) equiti...