JHME News and Press, John Hancock Multifactor Energy From 07/11/22

When thinking about oil and gas prices, think in terms of time, not just in price. Consensus analysts are probably aiming too low with their long-run oil and gas price forecasts. A look at the drivers of major oil and gas bull markets. There's a ton of focus in financial...

The “forward 4-quarter” estimate for the S&P 500 has slid sequentially for the last two-three weeks falling to $240.83 from $241.70 two weeks ago. The airline stocks, which have never been owned in any size in the last 20 years – with the occasional trade made...

As European spot prices for gas break new records, it is becoming clear that natural gas will be one of the major battlefields of the geoeconomic war between Russia and the West. Despite a popular perception that gas exports are a major source of funding for Putin’s war chest, ...

As many countries look to replace Russian energy, the abundance of resources in the US has taken on new importance – for both the US and its allies. The growth in US energy production over the last 10+ years has facilitated a downward trend in imports and a rise in exports, mak...

Recession fears and an accelerated Federal Reserve interest rate hiking trajectory weighed on markets during the second quarter, resulting in the weakest first half performance since 1970. The short end of the yield curve increased dramatically during Q2, with policy interest rates st...

Occidental Petroleum generates a ton of free cash flow at record petroleum prices. The company could achieve between $12-13B in free cash flow in FY 2022. Occidental Petroleum’s balance sheet strength is set to improve as free cash flow is used to repay debt. Petroleum ...

Commodities prices have spiked as demand from the restart clashed with tightening supply. We see the war and net-zero transition keeping prices high. U.S. and euro area inflation data last week showed still-persistent inflation. Stocks and bond yields fell as markets priced more risk ...

The company has a reliable portfolio of assets that it's using to maintain its strong production. At current prices, we expect the company to be able to provide a double-digit dividend yield, with additional shareholder returns. The company's debt load is more than manageable, and...

Crestwood Equity Partners has long been one of the best midstream companies in the sector and a core holding in our portfolio. The company has incredibly stable cash flows and EBITDA regardless of changes in the broader macroeconomy, which is very nice to see. The company boasts s...

Once the COVID distortions are over the economy will return to its previous state of roughly 2% growth and 2% inflation. Real sales of durable goods surged throughout COVID but accelerated rapidly with stimulus payments; sales peaked right as Biden’s American Rescue Act was imp...